TailMyPicks
Market

NFL · resolved market

Will David Njoku play for Pittsburgh Steelers in 2026-27?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,111 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x17df…f015backed No51c204.66$103 inWon+$101.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d97…0319backed No51c202$102 inWon+$99.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e7…e053backed No51c196.69$99 inWon+$97.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256d…026dbacked No51c196.01$99 inWon+$97.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1485…f7e2backed No51c195.63$99 inWon+$96.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4bc…68dabacked No51c195.25$99 inWon+$96.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef66…353ebacked No51c192.48$97 inWon+$95.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4961…2a1fbacked No51c189.32$96 inWon+$93.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc43e…56b0backed No51c185.77$94 inWon+$91.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…6ebfbacked No51c185.39$94 inWon+$91.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de0…bcb4backed No51c184.15$93 inWon+$91.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x529b…cf37backed No51c177.72$90 inWon+$87.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a2…085cbacked No51c175.57$89 inWon+$86.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e3…4e41backed No51c173.5$88 inWon+$85.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x272b…2546backed No51c171.74$87 inWon+$85.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.