TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes31c9,301$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.7339435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No56c3,125$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.223751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes24c2,525$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.832339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes59c2,480$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.4973649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked No47c2,411$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.0295641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No80c2,387$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.451,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No35c1,957$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.9710542.9%45 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed No19c1,764$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.689516.8%16 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes37c1,595$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.1476054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No75c1,530$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.621,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No70c1,508$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.4217162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes77c1,399$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.411753%62 W · 55 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No45c1,340$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.631,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes39c1,209$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.0295848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes37c1,193$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.7925845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed No74c1,154$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.56639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes80c1,129$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.9822041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a4…e9adbacked No21c1,111$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.194535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f2…a029backed Yes25c1,026$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603060%18 W · 12 L+6.1wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+45.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No53c1,025$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.117337%27 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f6…1a99backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No76c751.54$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9619047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes55c732.4$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.9126048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd6…7807backed No17c700$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+500.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1150…e701backed Yes44c669.7$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.371811.1%2 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-81.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No54c656.84$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7622243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes34c649.16$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.6818246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No43c637.08$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.231,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad4d…160cbacked Yes24c623.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.761040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d07…a108backed No78c608.94$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes46c605.1$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed No52c604.75$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6312245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes24c600.17$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.435213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed No73c589.66$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.823141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c8…e944backed Yes34c585.88$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.432650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No69c555.12$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4735049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb73…b8b8backed Yes45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No70c495$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.156048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac5f…202dbacked Yes25c493.95$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253727%10 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe243…79f7backed Yes24c481.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.15140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaf9…c81bbacked Yes23c431.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015442.2%65 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9639…bd9cbacked Yes24c417.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc4…a38dbacked No69c400$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.441942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No45c397$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.42733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+37.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No75c394$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe021…10e8backed No79c381.99$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.22825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes41c378$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.621,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd496…33d7backed Yes28c363.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-76.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes15c352.77$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.276653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes59c340.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017356.6%98 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked No35c305.62$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.6318556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes67c286.36$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.396934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed Yes76c283.6$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.542642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No42c283.24$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9122750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdf17…97d1backed No38c276.33$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.695349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes32c266.91$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1426336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Yes47c258.84$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6620356.7%115 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1617…ec98backed Yes80c246$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.82948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes18c239.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2190863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes54c233.32$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8910539%41 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf15d…2f95backed Yes43c230.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes6c223.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.443928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked No15c219$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.152646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d7…8c45backed No24c213$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.881435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x539d…0213backed Yes41c211$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.91827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadf5…c53dbacked No40c209.3$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed No25c205.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6716547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe627…e145backed No18c200$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+185.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…c55fbacked Yes46c196.11$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9750%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x091a…db09backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503177.4%24 W · 7 L+7.6wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+37%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Yes71c189$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.328243.9%36 W · 46 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No68c188$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.993920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No27c185.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.531,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c99…cb64backed No76c184.41$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.26650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…285abacked Yes20c175.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafa3…c3ddbacked No36c171$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.441553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes24c170$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-61.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa400…ec34backed No20c169$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.22245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Yes79c153$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8720154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked Yes77c152$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.044334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0736…5ce4backed No77c149.38$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.361323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes20c146$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No64c144.35$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.371346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd58c…8954backed Yes26c144$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.641118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-61.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a7…4d86backed No22c141$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.881553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde74…2190backed Yes42c140.48$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9634…aae2backed Yes28c140.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-49.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8593…c931backed No43c140.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.422846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24f8…351ebacked No35c137$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…f4d1backed No16c136$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.242454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+50.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf16…a9acbacked No74c134.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6acb…06bdbacked No63c134.37$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.911181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…525fbacked No76c131.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581788.2%15 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick77cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Yes45c130.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5931540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9464…b4cbbacked Yes77c126$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.021233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked No80c125.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2514170.9%100 W · 41 L+11.4wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cc5…ef61backed No40c124.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.393764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.