NBA · resolved market
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5ac15bcf9892f7824f7368dd0317c77c7186aeea02ffcc01da9a9ec7303982b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 31c | 9,301$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.73 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 56c | 3,125$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.22 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 24c | 2,525$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.83 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 59c | 2,480$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.49 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 47c | 2,411$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.02 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 80c | 2,387$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.45 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 35c | 1,957$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.97 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed No | 19c | 1,764$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.68 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,595$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.14 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed No | 75c | 1,530$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.62 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked No | 70c | 1,508$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.42 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 77c | 1,399$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.4 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 45c | 1,340$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.63 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 39c | 1,209$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.02 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,193$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.79 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed No | 74c | 1,154$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 80c | 1,129$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.98 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked No | 21c | 1,111$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.19 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f2…a029backed Yes | 25c | 1,026$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 53c | 1,025$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.11 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…1a99backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 76c | 751.54$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 55c | 732.4$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.91 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…7807backed No | 17c | 700$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +500.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…e701backed Yes | 44c | 669.7$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.37 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 54c | 656.84$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.76 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 34c | 649.16$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 43c | 637.08$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.23 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…160cbacked Yes | 24c | 623.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…a108backed No | 78c | 608.94$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 46c | 605.1$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 52c | 604.75$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.63 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 24c | 600.17$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 73c | 589.66$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.82 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed Yes | 34c | 585.88$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 69c | 555.12$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…b8b8backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 70c | 495$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.15 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…202dbacked Yes | 25c | 493.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…79f7backed Yes | 24c | 481.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf9…c81bbacked Yes | 23c | 431.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9639…bd9cbacked Yes | 24c | 417.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked No | 69c | 400$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 45c | 397$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 75c | 394$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…10e8backed No | 79c | 381.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 41c | 378$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.62 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…33d7backed Yes | 28c | 363.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 15c | 352.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 59c | 340.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked No | 35c | 305.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.63 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 67c | 286.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed Yes | 76c | 283.6$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.54 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 42c | 283.24$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.91 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 38c | 276.33$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.69 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 32c | 266.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Yes | 47c | 258.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 203 | 56.7%115 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed Yes | 80c | 246$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 18c | 239.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 54c | 233.32$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.89 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15d…2f95backed Yes | 43c | 230.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 6c | 223.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 15c | 219$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed No | 24c | 213$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 41c | 211$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…c53dbacked No | 40c | 209.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed No | 25c | 205.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.67 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…e145backed No | 18c | 200$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…c55fbacked Yes | 46c | 196.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…db09backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +7.6wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +37%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Yes | 71c | 189$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 68c | 188$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -9.1wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 185.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.53 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c99…cb64backed No | 76c | 184.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…285abacked Yes | 20c | 175.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…c3ddbacked No | 36c | 171$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 24c | 170$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed No | 20c | 169$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Yes | 79c | 153$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked Yes | 77c | 152$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0736…5ce4backed No | 77c | 149.38$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 20c | 146$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 64c | 144.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Yes | 26c | 144$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…4d86backed No | 22c | 141$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…2190backed Yes | 42c | 140.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…aae2backed Yes | 28c | 140.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed No | 43c | 140.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…351ebacked No | 35c | 137$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed No | 16c | 136$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…a9acbacked No | 74c | 134.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…06bdbacked No | 63c | 134.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…525fbacked No | 76c | 131.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…761bbacked Yes | 45c | 130.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -15.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…b4cbbacked Yes | 77c | 126$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked No | 80c | 125.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 141 | 70.9%100 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…ef61backed No | 40c | 124.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.