NBA · resolved market
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9b5ca2233f9b2deafefe1a675da207953a430c755be85fe71ead4d062eb6a0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,136 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 11c | 8,628$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.53 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,976$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 12c | 2,893$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.6 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 16c | 2,162$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 3c | 1,522$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…9830backed Yes | 14c | 1,440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,414$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…c775backed Yes | 14c | 1,313$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,228$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 33c | 1,148$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.84 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…70a2backed Yes | 33c | 1,090$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 13c | 1,019$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd681…4c5abacked Yes | 3c | 972.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed No | 72c | 917$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 68c | 842$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.44 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed No | 73c | 837$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…0d97backed Yes | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 33c | 775$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 80c | 730$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…857bbacked No | 68c | 689$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 78c | 662.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.17 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed Yes | 32c | 661$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 67c | 614$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.62 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Yes | 33c | 610$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 597.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…be9dbacked Yes | 11c | 588.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…bb3fbacked Yes | 13c | 586.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0f…af26backed Yes | 30c | 576$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed No | 52c | 573$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.62 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…dc0bbacked Yes | 33c | 571$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked No | 67c | 557$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 29c | 554.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 50c | 546$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Yes | 32c | 532$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…28d0backed No | 67c | 495$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked No | 73c | 472$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 27c | 469$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked No | 68c | 459$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed No | 64c | 453$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.91 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed Yes | 32c | 448$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked Yes | 28c | 440$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 71c | 418$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…ac3dbacked No | 52c | 416$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed No | 68c | 398$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Yes | 10c | 394.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…95c8backed No | 73c | 380$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked No | 80c | 380$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed Yes | 32c | 373$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed No | 67c | 360$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 30c | 354$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…51d6backed Yes | 13c | 353.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 27c | 352$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…a152backed Yes | 46c | 348$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…282abacked Yes | 33c | 348$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34be…6797backed No | 67c | 348$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…6533backed Yes | 28c | 322$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed Yes | 30c | 320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed No | 72c | 315.09$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 11c | 311.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 29c | 293$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.97 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8f…4dc1backed No | 78c | 276.13$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked No | 71c | 275$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…9147backed Yes | 14c | 273.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes | 26c | 270$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…d431backed Yes | 13c | 267.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7698…57c0backed Yes | 4c | 263.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 70c | 259$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…2dacbacked Yes | 20c | 259$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed No | 67c | 256$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…828fbacked Yes | 13c | 250.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…41cabacked Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed No | 67c | 246$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 46c | 245$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…2573backed Yes | 4c | 244.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 67c | 243$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed No | 67c | 239$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed No | 67c | 235$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed No | 73c | 234$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Yes | 29c | 232$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 67c | 226$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea9…c3a5backed Yes | 15c | 213.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked Yes | 42c | 208$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed No | 58c | 208$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…ca4cbacked No | 52c | 202$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked Yes | 32c | 198$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…3c30backed Yes | 32c | 196$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 54c | 192$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes | 27c | 190$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…1a35backed Yes | 25c | 189$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed No | 68c | 184$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 32c | 184$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 32c | 183$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 17c | 179.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked No | 54c | 179$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked No | 51c | 175$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 29c | 168$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Yes | 48c | 167$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.16 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.