TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7698…57c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$25.1
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$4.95
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+70.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$113.33
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+521.1%+$130.28
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.41
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.08
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.29
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.