NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x117afac59081943ddb0f9ad7c098adf141e912062156235cb2ce5ae0b9bc591b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,067,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,252,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,067,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 913 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Golden Knights | 25c | 116,324$28,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,730.75 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Golden Knights | 59c | 115,371$68,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,068.92 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Ducks | 79c | 66,212$52,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,869.06 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Ducks | 41c | 61,000$25,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,990 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Ducks | 42c | 59,999$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,799.59 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Golden Knights | 32c | 59,645$19,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,134.45 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 56c | 44,291$24,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,945.42 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Golden Knights | 51c | 35,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Ducks | 57c | 30,096$17,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,936.63 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Golden Knights | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.89 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Ducks | 72c | 21,971$15,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,214.83 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ducks | 71c | 21,780$15,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,324.04 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Golden Knights | 55c | 21,523$11,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,907.44 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Golden Knights | 61c | 16,393$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.72 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 40c | 14,340$5,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,651.75 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Ducks | 41c | 13,768$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,138.83 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Ducks | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Golden Knights | 33c | 10,205$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.69 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Ducks | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights | 57c | 9,882$5,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,621.77 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 39c | 9,314$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,648.29 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Ducks | 40c | 8,500$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Golden Knights | 60c | 7,777$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Golden Knights | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Ducks | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.86 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 63c | 7,084$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.28 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Ducks | 42c | 6,839$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,963.4 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Ducks | 41c | 6,312$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.2 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Ducks | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 5,952$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.55 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Ducks | 44c | 5,756$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.47 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Ducks | 41c | 5,700$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Ducks | 41c | 5,665$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,342.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Golden Knights | 60c | 5,565$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.85 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Golden Knights | 0c | 5,010$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Golden Knights | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ducks | 72c | 4,472$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.88 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Ducks | 41c | 4,390$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.24 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Ducks | 69c | 4,349$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.76 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…0afebacked Ducks | 42c | 4,206$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ducks | 46c | 3,616$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.26 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks | 40c | 3,407$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Ducks | 53c | 3,349$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.1 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Golden Knights | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Ducks | 42c | 3,304$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.33 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Golden Knights | 60c | 3,134$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.23 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Ducks | 46c | 3,125$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.77 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Ducks | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Ducks | 41c | 2,999$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.86 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Ducks | 41c | 2,927$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.83 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Ducks | 41c | 2,800$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Golden Knights | 60c | 2,530$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.22 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Ducks | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Golden Knights | 59c | 2,500$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 2,472$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.14 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Ducks | 65c | 2,400$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Ducks | 41c | 2,385$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Ducks | 58c | 2,376$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.25 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Golden Knights | 46c | 2,340$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.03 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Ducks | 52c | 2,298$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.04 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Ducks | 43c | 2,286$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.05 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 2,222$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.26 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Golden Knights | 1c | 2,185$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 2,142$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.68 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Ducks | 65c | 2,138$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.61 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ducks | 48c | 2,080$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Ducks | 41c | 2,075$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.41 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Ducks | 59c | 2,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 46c | 1,848$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.93 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,757$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.32 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ducks | 41c | 1,718$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.53 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6d37backed Golden Knights | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 1,654$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ducks | 44c | 1,628$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.4 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 41c | 1,613$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.04 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…4f71backed Golden Knights | 45c | 1,586$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Ducks | 77c | 1,560$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.25 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights | 59c | 1,555$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.45 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 1,534$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.32 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Golden Knights | 51c | 1,522$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.33 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Ducks | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.41 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 62c | 1,452$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Golden Knights | 20c | 1,358$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Golden Knights | 28c | 1,357$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Ducks | 45c | 1,320$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…2cfdbacked Ducks | 64c | 1,318$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Ducks | 42c | 1,310$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.89 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15dc…77c8backed Ducks | 41c | 1,222$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Ducks | 39c | 1,212$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.32 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Ducks | 42c | 1,202$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.38 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Ducks | 45c | 1,156$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.78 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Ducks | 40c | 1,150$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Ducks | 43c | 1,137$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Ducks | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Golden Knights | 27c | 1,086$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Ducks | 63c | 1,086$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.53 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 16c | 1,038$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.86 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Golden Knights | 7c | 1,036$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.93 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.