NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf07e65bc5ddbc0f49c81601c5f2bb646e8afb71250f06bcf44faf2c2c82a531d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Over | 49c | 25,325$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,399.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under | 51c | 9,509$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Under | 51c | 5,887$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.63 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 56c | 4,999$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.52 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 3,143$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.94 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 44c | 2,390$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.27 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 44c | 1,738$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.48 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 1,523$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.72 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 51c | 1,500$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 1,090$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.35 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 44c | 1,066$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.25 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 903.03$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.48 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…c4bfbacked Under | 51c | 813.73$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 731.24$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.16 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Under | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 670$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.2 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 649.2$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.6 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…97bebacked Under | 51c | 588.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 565.06$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.01 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Under | 51c | 454.9$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.9 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 66c | 452.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…198fbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 44c | 359.75$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.82 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 52c | 358.28$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.97 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Under | 51c | 307.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 34c | 290.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 51c | 270$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 50c | 236$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…a5b1backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Under | 51c | 157$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 156.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 52c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 132.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 50c | 110.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 51c | 105.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 48c | 103.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…2af8backed Under | 53c | 92.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 51c | 76.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 27c | 59.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 57.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 51c | 57.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 52c | 55.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 57c | 49.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…958cbacked Under | 53c | 49.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 56c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 44c | 44.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 43c | 37.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…1100backed Under | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 39c | 33.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Under | 67c | 32.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…0738backed Under | 52c | 28.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…e861backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…291abacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 26.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 54c | 24.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…3bafbacked Under | 53c | 24.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Under | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68f4…6045backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 49c | 21.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 50c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4d7ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 75c | 14.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Ducks vs. Golden KnightsDucks won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.