NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8af435db31509e443b5391cc741722719316d4cb96518abb64c0f2a4b904d0a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Golden Knights, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Golden Knights | 38c | 36,492$13,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,866.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Ducks | 62c | 16,875$10,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,412.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Ducks | 62c | 13,656$8,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 62c | 5,402$3,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.91 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Golden Knights | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Golden Knights | 35c | 5,113$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.73 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Golden Knights | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Ducks | 62c | 1,517$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.57 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 5c | 1,307$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Golden Knights | 25c | 1,200$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.79 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Ducks | 62c | 1,052$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.89 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Ducks | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Golden Knights | 35c | 865.47$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.92 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Ducks | 62c | 841.94$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.94 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Ducks | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Ducks | 63c | 631.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.24 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Ducks | 65c | 606.36$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.23 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Ducks | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Ducks | 74c | 495.82$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.57 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Golden Knights | 38c | 473.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Ducks | 75c | 462$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Golden Knights | 32c | 440$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Golden Knights | 38c | 328.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Ducks | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Golden Knights | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed Ducks | 68c | 294.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Golden Knights | 35c | 280$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Golden Knights | 39c | 252.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 71c | 251.18$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Golden Knights | 15c | 243.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Golden Knights | 15c | 194.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Ducks | 62c | 191$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Ducks | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…3920backed Ducks | 68c | 178.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Ducks | 66c | 167.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Ducks | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Ducks | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Golden Knights | 32c | 154.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Golden Knights | 38c | 153.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Ducks | 69c | 145.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Ducks | 62c | 145.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Ducks | 62c | 142.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Golden Knights | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Ducks | 63c | 123.93$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Golden Knights | 16c | 113$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Ducks | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Ducks | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Ducks | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Golden Knights | 19c | 87.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…25dfbacked Ducks | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Ducks | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Ducks | 62c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Golden Knights | 39c | 70.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Ducks | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Golden Knights | 38c | 66.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Ducks | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Ducks | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Golden Knights | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ducks | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Ducks | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Ducks | 63c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Ducks | 62c | 38.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Ducks | 62c | 34.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Ducks | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Ducks | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Ducks | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Golden Knights | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Ducks | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Golden Knights | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Ducks | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Ducks | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ducks | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Ducks | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Ducks | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…f1a4backed Ducks | 60c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…5470backed Ducks | 60c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…25afbacked Ducks | 60c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfd…ee7ebacked Ducks | 60c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…8ca2backed Ducks | 60c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3224…d695backed Ducks | 60c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Ducks | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…e042backed Ducks | 60c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e6…7347backed Ducks | 60c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…21babacked Ducks | 64c | 18.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb551…a2f3backed Ducks | 65c | 18.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96a2…8016backed Ducks | 60c | 17.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dc…be6abacked Ducks | 60c | 17.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7626…8d83backed Ducks | 74c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Ducks vs. Golden KnightsDucks won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.