TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ef2…fdb6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.32per pick55cpaid-60.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.46
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,181.25
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.2
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. NC Dinosbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.77
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.76
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.95
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.68
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$20.9
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.49
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.2
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.03
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$51.83
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$28.25
Spread: Hungary (-1.5)backed Hungary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$36.19
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$555.5
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$55.51
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.02
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.71
Angola vs. Mauritania: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.65
Tajikistan vs. India: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.16
Andorra vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$95.95
IR Iran vs. Gambia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)backed Real Valladolid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.52
Real Zaragoza vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)backed Málaga CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$31.08
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.5
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.02
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.06
AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Toronto Marliesbacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguinsbacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Springfield Thunderbirdsbacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$26.65
AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Hershey Bearsbacked Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$65.1
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.75
Flyers vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.72
DEL: Adler Mannheim vs. Eisbaeren Berlinbacked Eisbaeren Berlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$50.38
All 8 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-77%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+65.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.27
Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$123.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$130.63
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$83.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$196.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.