Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf633cc950353ed52e88a519c59b637ce87f5db9efa8d450875d49729fd0e78c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48e0…51cabacked Yes | 0c | 14,101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 55c | 5,193$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.04 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 3,834$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.1 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 45c | 2,408$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.78 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…81ecbacked No | 72c | 2,393$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 47c | 2,053$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.69 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…2798backed Yes | 56c | 1,984$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 1,974$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.2 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 1,615$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.8 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 32c | 1,145$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.41 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 57c | 1,041$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.62 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +9.3wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 48c | 962$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.63 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 37c | 922.84$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.76 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 33c | 918.74$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.18 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…6ce4backed Yes | 70c | 874.14$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 829.69$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.65 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 60c | 796.08$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 751.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.35 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 25c | 695.95$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 75c | 672.98$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 27c | 637.71$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 25c | 581.73$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 50c | 571.38$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.76 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 70c | 561.93$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 71c | 545.53$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…5f64backed Yes | 11c | 521.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +201.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 15c | 519.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 79c | 438.7$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 21c | 398.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.71 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…5c9fbacked Yes | 53c | 358.73$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Yes | 74c | 351.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed No | 38c | 341.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 21c | 338.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Yes | 73c | 285.77$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 21c | 278$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 69c | 275.69$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 49c | 204.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 53c | 198.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 20c | 194.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 23c | 193.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.06 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 66c | 190.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Yes | 20c | 171.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 165.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 161.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 23c | 160.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 76c | 157.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 77c | 149.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 80c | 148.8$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 27c | 144.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Yes | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 80c | 136.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…f009backed No | 50c | 133$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Yes | 19c | 131.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 122.6$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…4944backed Yes | 64c | 122.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…523bbacked Yes | 21c | 118.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 77c | 116$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 78c | 112.94$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 77c | 101.91$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Yes | 73c | 98.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 46c | 98.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 66c | 94.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 24c | 93.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…ae72backed Yes | 62c | 93.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 21c | 89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 48c | 87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 37c | 81.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 17c | 78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 42c | 69.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes | 29c | 68.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Yes | 67c | 67.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 53c | 65.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e5…9d7cbacked Yes | 61c | 64.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 29c | 63.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 78c | 63.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 78c | 59.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 48c | 57.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 57.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1839…9fccbacked Yes | 70c | 49.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Yes | 50c | 43.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c8…1489backed Yes | 70c | 43.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…8d6dbacked Yes | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 36c | 37.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…d85fbacked Yes | 49c | 34.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked No | 72c | 33.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 39c | 33.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 31.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 61c | 29.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 67c | 29.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a03…279abacked No | 69c | 28.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 78c | 27.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Yes | 65c | 25.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 51c | 24.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?this page
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.