Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe90ac83f055a7997fd67410b9a96504d5eddfb3eb36ff74e9028f5c569502ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 72c | 5,099$3,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.36 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 4,184$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.82 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 71c | 3,221$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.54 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 12c | 2,553$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.89 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 2,447$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.73 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…f009backed Yes | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 1,295$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.78 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 19c | 1,288$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.99 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 69c | 1,266$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.32 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 45c | 1,218$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.79 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,100$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 60c | 986.67$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.63 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 920.01$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.93 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…5f64backed Yes | 11c | 608.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +201.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 52c | 543.69$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.97 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 33c | 537.01$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.58 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 63c | 512.47$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.21 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 21c | 509.37$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.22 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 80c | 461.83$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.72 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 14c | 449.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.41 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12e…a14abacked Yes | 30c | 422.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 13c | 366.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.26 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +9.3wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 79c | 355.46$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 337.33$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 16c | 299.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 51c | 280.31$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 275.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 53c | 274.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 271.83$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.82 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…869dbacked Yes | 22c | 260$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 27c | 244.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.51 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 43c | 240.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.95 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 20c | 238.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.34 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 51c | 232.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 17c | 225$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.75 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 24c | 221.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.17 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 23c | 210.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.05 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…f7ebbacked Yes | 55c | 206.43$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 79c | 188.51$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 77c | 185.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.63 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 49c | 178.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 78c | 164.33$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 163.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes | 12c | 163.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 23c | 160.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 153.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…f39abacked Yes | 27c | 144.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 20c | 142.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 56c | 129.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 78c | 125.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 76c | 119.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 118.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 49c | 113.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed No | 66c | 113$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes | 23c | 103.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…fd8dbacked Yes | 48c | 99.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 23c | 98.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…3211backed Yes | 18c | 97.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 40c | 89.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 68c | 89.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 68c | 79.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 20c | 79.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed No | 70c | 71.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 22c | 63.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 19c | 61.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 78c | 60.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 21c | 56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…20d3backed Yes | 37c | 52.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 78c | 51.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…21a8backed Yes | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…deb0backed No | 79c | 45.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…05d7backed Yes | 65c | 45.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 48c | 37.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…3716backed No | 80c | 37.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f3…530ebacked Yes | 36c | 28.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 77c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 80c | 24.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will San Diego FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?No won
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.