TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No63c23,033$14,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,458.5677751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed Yes59c14,486$8,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,497.24728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes34c13,673$4,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,682.4641339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No60c6,670$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.841,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes35c6,574$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.431241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No65c6,368$4,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.691,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes33c6,187$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.2322946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No40c5,330$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,201.6213553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No57c4,964$2,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.6687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes57c4,925$2,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,807.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes47c4,504$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.523548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No42c4,191$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,424.61,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes42c3,840$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.181,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes37c3,590$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.5458043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No42c3,578$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.617949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes28c3,481$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.8217753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No69c3,384$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.3711454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes36c3,033$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.4692346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No59c2,742$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.495068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Yes35c2,423$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.363551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes35c1,959$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.5228851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No42c1,786$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.719854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No45c1,751$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.2599340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes36c1,636$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.9212346.3%57 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c1,627$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.513,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No41c1,600$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94417258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed No46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Yes38c1,494$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes59c1,383$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.7153040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes34c1,222$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.658241.5%34 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70812263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No72c1,095$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.568971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No58c1,009$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.9371443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No66c996.69$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.3827058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked No71c933.88$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.481070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes55c884.94$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.579050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No60c871.81$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.6278344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked No65c798.14$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.291450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No41c731.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.710450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No65c707.37$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.058563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No41c700$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41312661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No41c680.45$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.3497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes22c652.06$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.372544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Yes2c635.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7140%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No65c635.35$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1839567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35415858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed Yes60c588.19$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+50.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes46c586$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.713228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…32f8backed No50c486.22$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.111060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes61c480.3$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.9810043%43 W · 57 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No43c449.16$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0222263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes55c439.22$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.313432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.4wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-41%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No59c426.61$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.671181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes36c426.05$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.5226346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked No71c396$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.021250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes44c394.29$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9552639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed No50c384.34$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.291942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes41c368.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2920252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes38c361.47$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3614549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Yes60c322.08$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Yes50c318.02$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.015448.1%26 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes48c311.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.122556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17772850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed No74c281.52$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.56944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+90.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed No62c275.12$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.921643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No62c272.03$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5245140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes42c261.95$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7628721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No42c254.85$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed No45c249.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.493348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes58c235.83$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2920249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes44c219.46$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.642842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed No37c216.83$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.841435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No66c210.74$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.454949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes39c209.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.893231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Yes56c208.63$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.833844.7%17 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No43c202.7$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11813158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11816960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11814257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed No40c185$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1112552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.215060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes55c168.67$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7719056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes60c161.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0418774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No41c160$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No41c160$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.411759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No41c160$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.412162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed No32c157.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.085343.4%23 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No43c146.69$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1280358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No41c140.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3720535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes60c138.04$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5373438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes23c133.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6619172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No74c133.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes50c117.56$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.783943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6b…617cbacked Yes56c108.19$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4705…fd08backed No45c103.25$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5914660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5914459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.