TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0e5…9d7c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-47.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$120.6
Madrid Open: Caty McNally vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.71
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.09
Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Pol Martin Tiffon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$70.88
Sinner vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.18
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$48
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.25
Oeiras 4: Lucie Havlickova vs Fiona Ferrobacked Lucie Havlickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.44
Savannah: Franco Roncadelli vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.49
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.71
Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$55.86
Madrid Open: Alycia Parks vs Ann Libacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Kypson (+1.5)backed Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Abidjan: Sasikumar Mukund vs Yanki Erelbacked Yanki Erel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$100.92
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.82
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$43.83
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$279.76
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+50%+$122.54
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.9
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$88.64
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+220.3%+$147.85
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.41
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.35
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$71.29
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.36
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+208.3%+$143.89
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.52
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Norma Dumont · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.1
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Rafa Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$418.76
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Adrian Luna Martinetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.06
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Montel Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.04
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$102.26
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.35
UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Sedriques Dumas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jafel Filho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.64
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.71
UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Victor Valenzuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$37.28
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Julia Polastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.62
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$399.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.