TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x762e…4bf0backed Kings50c3,990$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.973844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche50c3,389$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.6958841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Avalanche37c2,808$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.341266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+52.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Kings53c2,437$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.5516442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf30…8b95backed Avalanche48c2,415$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.594443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Kings52c2,033$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.9915448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche48c1,884$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.32,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Avalanche51c1,799$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.271163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche53c1,602$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.883,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Kings51c1,572$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.126134.4%21 W · 40 L-8.5wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings63c1,518$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.321,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche37c1,466$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.491,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Kings63c1,372$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.3918453.8%99 W · 85 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Kings49c1,335$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.4529533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche49c1,205$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.692,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa771…c2c1backed Avalanche48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Kings49c983.94$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.86448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Kings63c979.79$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.2722946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Avalanche41c962.62$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.2111435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Avalanche45c891.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.8531148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6048…2711backed Kings53c888.55$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Avalanche51c753.55$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.257739%30 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Kings49c662.26$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.785662.5%35 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Kings51c618.76$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.794141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Kings48c605.5$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.641163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e5…9d7cbacked Avalanche51c570.94$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.761258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Kings3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1590%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b84…6accbacked Kings48c473.59$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.993141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Kings54c419.58$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9650251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Kings65c377.87$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.711172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Avalanche53c371.68$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2135551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Kings43c367.61$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.994254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings63c343.88$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.641,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Kings45c328.86$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.519562.1%59 W · 36 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kings63c306.16$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8876950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Avalanche37c288.66$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.8626136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Kings70c268.55$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.651,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Avalanche37c260.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8319033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Kings47c237.64$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.698345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Kings64c236.52$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.372250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc003…47a8backed Kings58c228.14$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3240%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Avalanche53c207.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4741050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked Kings49c206.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Avalanche66c202.78$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0445069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Avalanche50c199.41$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8712045.8%55 W · 65 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Kings51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.062857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Avalanche35c180.68$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4433554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Avalanche48c169.95$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0815535.5%55 W · 100 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Kings63c158.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Kings60c154.37$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.861,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf596…4b79backed Kings51c153.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Kings33c147.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.991687.5%14 W · 2 L+5.7wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+81.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Avalanche51c133.27$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.331070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+71%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Kings60c131.31$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.79560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Kings48c130.11$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.452085%17 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+49.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Kings22c129.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.714542.8%62 W · 83 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Avalanche37c129.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.364252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings59c123.1$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.631,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Kings65c120.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3281157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Avalanche64c120.39$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe32a…efabbacked Avalanche48c118.7$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.142450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Kings54c114.44$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.251353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kings26c108.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3447024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Avalanche40c101.26$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7631828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Kings50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Kings36c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.421355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1e…8b53backed Kings64c97.84$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd99e…9f5abacked Kings64c96.31$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked Avalanche37c96.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.626142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Kings51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.531338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ed0…4d72backed Avalanche38c94.51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+165.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3711…7339backed Avalanche51c94.27$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.733053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Kings51c93.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.523429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Kings32c91.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6865721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kings63c91.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3459450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Kings52c87.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5226154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Avalanche45c87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.024050%20 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…8491backed Avalanche37c84.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Kings47c82.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.736550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Avalanche51c79.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kings64c77.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.954260.3%327 W · 215 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Avalanche36c76.93$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.232441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Avalanche50c75.93$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.979141.8%38 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe932…2084backed Avalanche37c72.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Kings51c70.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.124850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Kings65c66.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0833660.7%204 W · 132 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed Kings59c66.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.022454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Avalanche30c65.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8249851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb9…9e0cbacked Kings64c64.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Kings63c64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3223063%145 W · 85 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Kings52c63.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.261346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d2…380bbacked Kings47c62.15$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.218252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Kings64c53.51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2440162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Kings50c53.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7142948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kings61c51.72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.751,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Kings47c51.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.213043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Kings47c51.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.213948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Kings64c50.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.481957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Kings26c47.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.164427.3%12 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.