TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,232

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba5a…344cbacked Over68c2,891$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.4412152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under31c2,813$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.862,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over61c2,524$1,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.315448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under28c2,120$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.3466552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under35c2,066$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.785040%20 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over69c1,819$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.33,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under38c1,662$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.6661848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over69c1,305$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.838551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Under28c1,247$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.231258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over72c1,204$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.9317761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over71c1,095$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.762,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Over69c1,060$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.028345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under29c811.17$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.181,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over79c724.59$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1615265.1%99 W · 53 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under41c707.69$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over72c691.29$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.561,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Under28c683.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.367850%39 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Under24c592.15$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.22450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Over77c571$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.495949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under26c550.71$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6611435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b36…56cebacked Under38c503.47$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over72c500$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.0750251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over70c484.86$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.591,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Over67c481.09$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.446448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under31c419.54$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7534547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over65c405.51$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.187152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under31c383.92$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3135551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x463e…fa8ebacked Under29c368.6$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e5…9d7cbacked Over67c367.54$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.541258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over74c323.61$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1410346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under21c317.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6829551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under25c303.7$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.087047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under52c259.28$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.692,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over76c239.24$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4217247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under19c212.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0631828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Over62c210.53$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over57c199.66$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.731,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under31c181$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8351343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Under30c175.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under27c161.6$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.631,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over73c156.42$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.233751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.510667.9%72 W · 34 L+16.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over73c149.91$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4710663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under26c147.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5743250.9%220 W · 212 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Over69c145.62$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.113429.4%10 W · 24 L-8.4wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked Over70c140.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf342…a5e9backed Under27c131.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.384738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49a8…b182backed Under45c129.25$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.813844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over72c107.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1414254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe32a…efabbacked Under33c86.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.512450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under36c79.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.571,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Over69c78.51$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.342085%17 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+49.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under34c77.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.478850%44 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under31c77.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.058757.5%50 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over74c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2549851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed9…b344backed Under27c71.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under32c70.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7628340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over61c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5721355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d7b…1bbdbacked Over73c67.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6794…7203backed Under26c66.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8c…d49bbacked Under29c65.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under29c64.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7314855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under32c64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4838447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0582353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d4…523cbacked Under27c52.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23040%12 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under25c49.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.392049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Under27c47.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.912441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under27c47.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.918749.4%43 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Under26c43.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.444628.3%13 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x117b…bcfebacked Under31c42.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Over74c38.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.982080%16 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over78c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.714045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Over56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over76c34.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under39c33.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1528847.2%136 W · 152 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over60c30.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.033672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.856553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over74c27.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22650%13 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3492…969abacked Over51c27.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.411741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Over74c26.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9217147.4%81 W · 90 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6337…b955backed Over55c26.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.94650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f65…9524backed Over73c25.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.755954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over72c22.15$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.29755.7%54 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.68060%48 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc171…cb0bbacked Over74c19.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.191050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbfb…4d8dbacked Over74c19.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x307a…1aaabacked Over75c19.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.92955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4479…c84abacked Over75c18.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.71650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8638…5a23backed Over75c18.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Over69c17.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.291338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Over73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.057167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81bc…1d7abacked Over75c14.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.