TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x117b…bcfe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Asian League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Laura Samson vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$11.34
Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$11.67
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Andrea Vavassori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Oeiras 4: Linda Klimovicova vs Yue Yuanbacked Linda Klimovicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$29.62
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.3
Oeiras 4: Darja Semenistaja vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Whitney Osuigwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$29.73
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.96
Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsenbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.87
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$19.88
Madrid Open: Magda Linette vs Iva Jovicbacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.5
Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osakabacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Madrid Open: Martin Landaluce vs Adam Waltonbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.34
Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$36.22
Madrid Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50.33
Madrid Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.91
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Daniil Ostapenkovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$27.57
Madrid Open: Anna Bondar vs Elina Svitolinabacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$18.93
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$45.15
Gwangju: Dane Sweeny vs James McCabebacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$82.91
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$3.75
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.01
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Metsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$37.34
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.13
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$15.45
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+145.8%+$23.84
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$4.54
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.33
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$39.98
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.41
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
All 6 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$5.07
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.62
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Platense vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.