Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x662e1278cd20fecd60f674d23951461d6c94a094d9d40bf3c0cf681243903409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 11c | 2,554$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.01 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 4c | 1,609$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 1,367$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.28 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 861.2$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.97 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 15c | 461.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 18c | 264.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 9c | 254.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 10c | 208.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 68c | 195.35$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 99.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed Yes | 34c | 78.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked No | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 23c | 61.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 32c | 59.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes | 21c | 53.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 47.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 33c | 39.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 29.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed No | 66c | 28.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 80c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 62c | 18.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…bcfebacked No | 66c | 17.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-23?this page
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-23?No won
- Will FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.