Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe48c7531a1aa22931cfced2a6cf66f37357f9bb4f87eb9010fdbbb9f8582732e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 19c | 7,895$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,394.74 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 80c | 6,513$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,190.3 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 1,134$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.74 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 44c | 822.46$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.64 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 48c | 587.15$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.9 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 54c | 586.44$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.7 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 11c | 430.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Yes | 65c | 318.63$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 49c | 304.69$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.79 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 43c | 297.61$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 57c | 291.15$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.64 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 40c | 284.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 59c | 272.39$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 60c | 212.74$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 68c | 205.21$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.53 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 189.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 41c | 162.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 60c | 145.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 124.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed No | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.30per pick | 44cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 15c | 107.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 55c | 101.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 42c | 99.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 42c | 98.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 39c | 98.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 76c | 93.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 53c | 92.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Yes | 12c | 91.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +13.2wins | +0.35per pick | 44cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 52c | 91.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed No | 57c | 85.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Yes | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Yes | 48c | 79.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 44c | 78.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked No | 58c | 70.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 70.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…c685backed Yes | 43c | 67.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 57c | 65.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 58c | 63.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 35c | 60.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 30c | 57.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes | 29c | 54.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed No | 56c | 52.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 67c | 51.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 63c | 50.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 62c | 50.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa564…e6f3backed Yes | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…dc19backed Yes | 43c | 42.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 39c | 37.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 70c | 37.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a9…b002backed Yes | 43c | 35.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 48c | 35.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Yes | 42c | 33.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 55c | 31.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02df…e29fbacked Yes | 43c | 31.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed No | 60c | 30.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 56c | 30.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…a5e4backed Yes | 44c | 24.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…8bacbacked Yes | 62c | 22.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +205.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed No | 60c | 21.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7c…1549backed Yes | 57c | 18.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 60c | 17.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-23?this page
- Will FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.