Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabc97b03d880ed871cfa98c849d3dfa8adce04da65d67342865421ca0e4575a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 18c | 4,630$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.72 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 1,176$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.61 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 77c | 809.71$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 723.46$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 680.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.53 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 619.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 75c | 443.23$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.89 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 28c | 422.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.98 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 17c | 310.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 276$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.73 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 25c | 213.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.44 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 73c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.11 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 189.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 180.15$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Yes | 78c | 149.07$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 23c | 139$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 133.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…58bdbacked Yes | 26c | 133.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 124.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…5c17backed Yes | 25c | 118.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +87%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0796…8264backed Yes | 74c | 93.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 36c | 93.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 75c | 87.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed No | 29c | 83.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 14c | 73.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 73c | 72.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba28…fa8fbacked No | 26c | 69.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 22c | 64.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 61.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 59.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Yes | 25c | 56.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 75c | 55.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…b344backed Yes | 77c | 36.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 32.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 73c | 26.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 24.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?this page
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-04-23?No won
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.