Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71837c35138ed464e3945e7e66ffe529b74e700eb2fbddf32cc33d340a0e4c8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 9,972$7,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.17 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 39c | 8,049$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.88 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 32c | 4,180$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.6 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 37c | 2,856$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 12c | 2,703$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.37 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 62c | 1,725$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.01 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 62c | 1,569$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.99 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e65…0b57backed Over | 27c | 978.13$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 12c | 959.39$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 16c | 889.68$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 829.91$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 20c | 599$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 59c | 487.7$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 61c | 484$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +10.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 38c | 481.4$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.93 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 61c | 460$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 444.41$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.16 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 244.15$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 61c | 236$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 38c | 220.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 195.86$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 35c | 190.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 62c | 154.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 10c | 150.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 17c | 119.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 62c | 113.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Under | 58c | 108.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 22c | 108.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 42c | 96.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 21c | 88.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 71c | 85.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 62c | 75.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…5222backed Under | 62c | 70.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 69c | 70.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 17c | 67.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 65c | 57.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 62c | 47.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 59c | 46.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x117b…bcfebacked Under | 62c | 32.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 62c | 31.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +9.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…c6abbacked Under | 64c | 30.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 62c | 23.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 61c | 20.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 76c | 20.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 59c | 18.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 63c | 18.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…a982backed Under | 62c | 16.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Pisa SC won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.