Serie A · resolved market
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3e85ace3e0d74060080bda0603e26563dd49cb338972c6adbb6f7306c1950d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 6,617$4,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.37 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 66c | 2,727$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.72 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Over | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 21c | 1,630$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.56 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 66c | 1,577$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.47 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 34c | 1,529$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.11 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 34c | 1,428$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.86 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 1,358$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.31 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 1,261$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 66c | 933$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.33 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Under | 34c | 903.93$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 43c | 700$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 660.92$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.61 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e65…0b57backed Under | 77c | 528.56$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 21c | 526.85$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Over | 29c | 489$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 47c | 284.04$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 269.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 52c | 267.65$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.29 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 231.31$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 30c | 213$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 34c | 146.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed Under | 72c | 144.76$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Under | 71c | 142.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…6875backed Under | 49c | 141.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 9c | 126.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 38c | 125.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 65c | 120.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 75c | 118.18$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 35c | 117.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 31c | 115.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 34c | 98.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 35c | 88.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 30c | 85.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 34c | 78.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.1wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 41c | 73.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 29c | 72.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 37c | 60.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 35c | 59.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 34c | 59.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under | 68c | 59.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 64c | 58.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8b…7a69backed Over | 66c | 58.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 55.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 41c | 54.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 45c | 43.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1ef8backed Under | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed Over | 34c | 39.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 67c | 36.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 65c | 24.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 65c | 19.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…f619backed Over | 65c | 18.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Under | 80c | 14.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 80c | 14.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Pisa SC won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.