Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa389599bd54634b1ddfbe7c17f3f0d8e36f4effef878844fb45ffc284af3714d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pisa SCof Parma Calcio 1913, Pisa SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 6 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 16c | 2,374$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.84 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 19c | 125.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 18c | 95.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 19c | 93.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…6ab0backed Parma Calcio 1913 | 18c | 85.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Parma Calcio 1913 | 18c | 65.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)this page
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.