TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x98f7…d028

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$56.67
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$33.75
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$94.14
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$43.95
Will FC Anyang vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
FC Tōkyō vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$6.58
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$312.24
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
Incheon United FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$77.88
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.36
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.96
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$49.53
Will FC Tōkyō vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.82
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$64.73
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$70.71
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$137.55
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$242.5
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80.62
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.33
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$95.53
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$47.35
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$41.99
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$34.23
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.58
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$82.08
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.62
CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.36
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$179.3
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$98.86
Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.16
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.91
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Unión: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.21
CA Belgrano vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$143.74
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$152.66
Clube do Remo vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
Racing Club vs. CA Barracas Central: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.67
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.62
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$72.26
Will CA Unión vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. FC Alverca: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.88
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$131.83
Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$300.46
Vitória SC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.89
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+43%+$59.06
Moreirense FC vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.96
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.51
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.22
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$119.87
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.29
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$125.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$52.91
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.