Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Anyang vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x591c7ada5d8c97fd4d6d9ba0e0d90c176679c0e1e39a14c457f077330741ef32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 1,581$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.9 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…2ddebacked Yes | 42c | 566.31$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.2 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 375.73$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.72 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 25c | 326.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 263.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 41c | 220$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.73 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 60c | 218.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 54c | 174.37$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63f…3fa7backed Yes | 30c | 165.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 65c | 146.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 22c | 136.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 24c | 129.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 79c | 126.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 51c | 109.27$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb161…9132backed Yes | 48c | 104.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 100.74$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 96.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 41c | 91.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes | 51c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Yes | 51c | 54.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 26c | 51.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfc…521fbacked Yes | 56c | 50.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 29c | 46.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…4194backed No | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 30c | 45.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 67c | 42.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 42c | 36.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…62ddbacked Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 25.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa867…71abbacked Yes | 70c | 17.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked No | 78c | 16.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb7…6f32backed Yes | 79c | 15.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Anyang vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.