Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3e5ae595e2ad6d622bef03391769c849056e8b0416298da679762f25726e3fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 69c | 1,339$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.37 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 17c | 598.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 21c | 499.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 432.03$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.79 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 408.49$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 316.17$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 42c | 230.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 46c | 209.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…c93abacked Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 39c | 196.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 33c | 177.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed Under | 55c | 173.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 79c | 139.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 35c | 126.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 79c | 110.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…5ff2backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Over | 17c | 62.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…a1ecbacked Over | 30c | 61.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 70c | 56.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 33c | 51.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 37.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Over | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Over | 38c | 34.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 68c | 31.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeju SK FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.