South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe59ee4db7d44b3c7e81cda6ff5656831a8ba4abbd8e751b9fac01ef21c483ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 70c | 1,774$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.36 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 21c | 1,215$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 12c | 499.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 22c | 410.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 79c | 369.89$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Yes | 29c | 363.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 64c | 314.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 22c | 299.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 74c | 267.24$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 25c | 256.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 226.37$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94e…f954backed Yes | 8c | 222.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 187.23$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 34c | 178.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 79c | 168.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 13c | 167.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Yes | 66c | 152.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 64c | 148.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed Yes | 68c | 147.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…1229backed No | 64c | 135$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 10c | 127.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 24c | 123$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 79c | 106.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 67c | 91.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 15c | 85.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes | 22c | 80.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 65c | 77.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 22c | 76.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 80c | 75.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…687ebacked Yes | 26c | 55.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 51c | 52.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 52c | 51.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 80c | 47.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 25c | 47.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…871abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed No | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 72c | 24.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 79c | 19.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…6939backed No | 79c | 18.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 78c | 18.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 17.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…8a38backed No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 77c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.