South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x117bff20253d2a4c7467c0028173ea61b40df8a9e1b4ac976ef5df55b20cdc1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 4,200$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 4c | 2,814$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 1,971$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.91 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 8c | 1,698$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 74c | 1,363$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.27 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 21c | 1,042$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 7c | 732.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 18c | 393.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 22c | 375$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 76c | 343.48$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 11c | 319.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 7c | 281.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…21b3backed Yes | 21c | 242.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 23c | 236.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 13c | 199.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 7c | 191.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 153.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 77c | 143.91$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 14c | 140.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…365abacked Yes | 21c | 129$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…2157backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 79c | 116.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 21c | 115.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 16c | 105.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 80c | 99.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 23c | 87.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes | 30c | 84.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 69c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 79c | 75.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 21c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Yes | 28c | 73.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 78c | 69.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 22c | 57.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…c2d1backed Yes | 26c | 56.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 55.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ecc5backed Yes | 21c | 53.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 79c | 34.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…8f45backed No | 78c | 26.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 77c | 26.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…5c42backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 80c | 24.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 80c | 24.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 79c | 17.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…58fbbacked No | 78c | 15.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 77c | 13.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…8f22backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?No won
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.