TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$290,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$302,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes52c179,989$92,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,094.7929446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed No48c109,744$52,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,674.622254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No49c32,247$15,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,801.0119952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No9c24,644$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.415,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked No49c15,140$7,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,418.561266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No49c11,154$5,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4308351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes52c8,437$4,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,049.94339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3056…4fefbacked No50c7,617$3,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,83410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No48c6,897$3,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,340.061,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No49c6,837$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3507556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9408321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c5,480$3,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.488,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes54c5,473$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.7331349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes37c4,750$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.441361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick33cpaid+72.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No46c3,676$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6831,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No49c2,922$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.7842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Yes57c2,791$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.62166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes52c2,100$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01811245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No8c1,877$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.081,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No49c1,837$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No37c1,473$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.5136339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.643,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes42c1,247$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.7650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes47c1,106$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.143148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No24c978.35$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.034032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No11c794.11$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6144843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No49c633.41$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3765058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No49c633.41$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3741256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes51c574.81$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.6642250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda51…ef7fbacked Yes26c558.69$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+280.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes27c546.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.1611717.9%21 W · 96 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24521349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked No79c489.98$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No3c460.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No36c447.8$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0823044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No49c431.58$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.231,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No35c408$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3716740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No23c376.19$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.033542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No47c362.61$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.161,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No6c361.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1615247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No30c350.14$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7816842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No49c350$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.51,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No46c349.43$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.077055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes74c316.02$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6537540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes80c312.9$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1926745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No52c309.79$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.541,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x973f…dc4ebacked No50c284.36$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1425646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Yes38c263$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.063828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.564344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes61c210.15$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.371752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6831745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No28c188.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220138.3%77 W · 124 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca6f…1c42backed No8c178.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No29c175.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No48c173$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.592,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes75c168$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4219963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No27c159.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.986124.6%15 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2a…420abacked Yes26c152.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+90.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed Yes43c140$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No49c132.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.510652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No49c118.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.315956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6425625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No51c108.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.371,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Yes52c105$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes52c103.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.856656.1%37 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No49c102.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9944959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed No49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010966.1%72 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No15c95.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3571619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe498…72c3backed No29c94.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No49c94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0622853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No35c91.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.721,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes42c88.03$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0434155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be8…e00abacked No58c87.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes42c81.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3747758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.922941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Yes52c75.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.167554.7%41 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…8516backed Yes76c75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e1…f0b6backed Yes52c72.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No49c72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2813457.5%77 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No55c70.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed No49c65.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick56cpaid-80.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked No62c64.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x844d…780bbacked No49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No48c59.62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8818452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No49c58.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8211858.5%69 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes52c57.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8314844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb783…72a8backed Yes69c57.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x038f…ecc5backed Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes70c57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No26c56.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6142946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes52c55.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7494848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Yes44c54.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.31060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cfd…ba99backed Yes42c51.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.971566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No54c51.42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.591,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.