TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36e1…f0b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
237
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tweets, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT7546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.68
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$51.93
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.75
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.62
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.16
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.63
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$42.68
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.92
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$63.7
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$52.41
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$46.23
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.42
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.01
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$53.27
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.4
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$27.16
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$40.3
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.76
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.59
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.05
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.79
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.61
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.89
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$25.03
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$40.51
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$42.08
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$192
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.46
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.92
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.58
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.08
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.19
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$19.67
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$66.71
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.52
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.19
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.43
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.49
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.97
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.5
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.92
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$57.56
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.15
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$27.2
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.01
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$23.21
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.52
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Juan Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$32.38
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Nikolay Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.97
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Polyana Viana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.26
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Djorden Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.01
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Themba Gorimbo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Aljamain Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.86
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Norma Dumont · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Alexander Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raoni Barcelos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$51.29
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcus Buchecha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Sedriques Dumas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.97
UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Victor Valenzuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.24
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.39
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Daria Zhelezniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.57
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tanner Boser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.25
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed JJ Aldrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$52.48
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.23
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.87
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.56
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$40.62
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$45.94
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$51.79
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.32
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.81
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.82
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$33.69
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-48.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.07
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.37
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$58.28
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.46
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.07
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.58
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.14
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+90.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+293.7%+$185.05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$40.62
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$22.13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.02
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.81
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+606.1%+$62.3
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$30.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will SC Freiburg vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.18
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+146.1%+$112.1
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.54
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
SC Braga vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+74.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+94.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29.9
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.03
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$34.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.