TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Weibo Gamingof Top Esports, Weibo Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,921 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Top Esports40c80,658$32,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,303.1627735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Weibo Gaming60c50,000$29,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,20014247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Top Esports40c24,284$9,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,713.466437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Weibo Gaming61c19,937$12,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,775.558444%37 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Weibo Gaming58c13,352$7,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,607.861,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked Top Esports42c10,312$4,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,330.856540%26 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3f…f75dbacked Top Esports0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019151.8%99 W · 92 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Top Esports40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00011643.1%50 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Weibo Gaming60c8,784$5,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.659450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Weibo Gaming62c7,409$4,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.321,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Weibo Gaming59c5,868$3,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.4970456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Weibo Gaming60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00014549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Top Esports40c4,266$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.3654353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Top Esports39c4,184$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.7851044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Top Esports50c4,006$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.5691854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Weibo Gaming61c4,004$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.5867056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Weibo Gaming60c4,002$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.767958.2%46 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d1…371bbacked Top Esports41c3,177$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.3316853%89 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Top Esports40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20032457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Weibo Gaming60c2,840$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.464749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Top Esports40c2,726$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.281020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Weibo Gaming60c2,477$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.911,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c75…1b0dbacked Top Esports40c2,410$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9649129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Top Esports38c2,347$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.8664443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Top Esports38c1,851$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.381,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed Top Esports39c1,653$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.7110231.4%32 W · 70 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Top Esports41c1,640$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.3382554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Weibo Gaming59c1,540$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.3913135.1%46 W · 85 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Weibo Gaming60c1,497$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.971,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Weibo Gaming53c1,492$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.111,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Weibo Gaming62c1,466$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55710648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Weibo Gaming60c1,099$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.612,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Top Esports38c1,023$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.172,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Top Esports39c887.99$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.321,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Top Esports41c823.44$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6132351.4%166 W · 157 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Top Esports42c786.32$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.228852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Weibo Gaming60c780.8$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.325028%14 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Weibo Gaming60c732$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.832145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Weibo Gaming60c548.66$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.7718139.2%71 W · 110 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Weibo Gaming62c522.8$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.6611249.1%55 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Top Esports38c499.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.261,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Top Esports41c497.56$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5417041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Top Esports41c470.8$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9239541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Top Esports41c466.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9611753%62 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Weibo Gaming60c424.68$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1228253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked Top Esports40c424.43$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.776858.8%40 W · 28 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+35.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Top Esports40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Weibo Gaming60c390.4$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1627050.7%137 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0a…fe3abacked Top Esports41c385.84$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.199738.1%37 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdec9…b8abbacked Weibo Gaming60c359.96$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9833153.2%176 W · 155 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Top Esports42c351.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2642751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xff81…1438backed Top Esports41c351.26$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.013444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Top Esports42c344.71$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7843640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Weibo Gaming60c325.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1336246.4%168 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Weibo Gaming62c315.66$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2342050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d95…82e8backed Weibo Gaming62c307.82$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.44161%25 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Weibo Gaming59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12315255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Top Esports41c274.43$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5222142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Top Esports40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.42955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked Top Esports40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.463247.6%301 W · 331 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Weibo Gaming61c240.13$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.657558.7%44 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Top Esports41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4653753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Weibo Gaming59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8260538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Weibo Gaming56c172.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.118253.7%44 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Top Esports38c169$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2239056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Weibo Gaming60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.071,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Weibo Gaming59c154.46$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1786144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Weibo Gaming51c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.56142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Top Esports37c147.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4347047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27c7…ba3ebacked Top Esports49c145.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2533069.7%230 W · 100 L+28.7wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Top Esports42c137.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9116647%78 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc7…2259backed Weibo Gaming61c120.07$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.833857.9%22 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+35.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Top Esports40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aff…45fbbacked Weibo Gaming59c117.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c43…97f8backed Top Esports42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.265271.2%37 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Weibo Gaming60c109.9$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9614450.7%73 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Top Esports40c106.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.421,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2d…4061backed Top Esports38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387042.9%30 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Top Esports42c91.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7812147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Top Esports38c84.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.542857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Weibo Gaming60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8a2…86debacked Weibo Gaming60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329655.2%53 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Top Esports41c77.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8141743.9%183 W · 234 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Top Esports40c73.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2315759.2%93 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1fc…5da8backed Top Esports41c71.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.111457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Top Esports40c71.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8914650.7%74 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Weibo Gaming59c54.82$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.251,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68b3…97c8backed Top Esports41c52.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.397044.3%31 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Top Esports39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.531650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Top Esports40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2062649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed Weibo Gaming60c49.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.846063.3%38 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Weibo Gaming60c48.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5267763.4%429 W · 248 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36a…697cbacked Top Esports41c48.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Top Esports40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2811354%61 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Top Esports40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.285158.8%30 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Top Esports39c48.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7920239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Top Esports41c47.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.296947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60eb…bb9dbacked Top Esports42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.318350.3%92 W · 91 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Top Esports40c36.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.351,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe891…e3ddbacked Weibo Gaming60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0112660.3%76 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.