TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Weibo Gamingof Weibo Gaming, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$511,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$642,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f48…93c7backed Weibo Gaming80c60,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Top Esports51c20,044$10,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,148.0555955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Top Esports51c13,603$6,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,98921749.8%108 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6130…a7a6backed Top Esports5c13,347$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.697936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Top Esports68c13,000$8,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,839.9857246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b5…037fbacked Top Esports62c11,000$6,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,819.994957.1%28 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Weibo Gaming52c10,636$5,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,098.021,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Weibo Gaming46c10,225$4,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,533.961,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Weibo Gaming78c9,961$7,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.7767276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Top Esports35c9,817$3,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,392.841,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed Top Esports2c8,569$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.441050%0 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Top Esports56c7,791$4,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,335.915356.9%87 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Weibo Gaming50c7,777$3,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,910.8251044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Weibo Gaming62c7,576$4,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,846.161,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Weibo Gaming27c7,294$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,321.6161045.2%276 W · 334 L+35.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Weibo Gaming38c6,583$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,085.4367056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Top Esports56c6,466$3,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,625.7667760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Weibo Gaming32c6,250$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,25059450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Weibo Gaming33c6,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0403,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x663d…2dd4backed Top Esports48c5,400$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.0517155%94 W · 77 L+16.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Top Esports10c5,000$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4979938.4%38 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1887…f75dbacked Weibo Gaming74c4,873$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.8912945.7%59 W · 70 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Top Esports61c4,351$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.3953750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Weibo Gaming49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Weibo Gaming39c3,931$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.711,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Top Esports60c3,909$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.2616254.9%89 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Top Esports51c3,642$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.7614035.7%50 W · 90 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Top Esports57c3,369$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.7167250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Top Esports46c3,192$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.3711655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Top Esports61c3,135$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.5642735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c75…1b0dbacked Top Esports63c3,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9009129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Top Esports39c3,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.9983560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Weibo Gaming51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.9923252.6%122 W · 110 L+20.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32eb…ded0backed Weibo Gaming56c2,651$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.331644.3%140 W · 176 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Top Esports22c2,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6611249.1%55 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Weibo Gaming75c2,412$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.1660347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Top Esports52c2,400$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.562,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Top Esports50c2,245$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.4128827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Top Esports67c2,221$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.061,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed Top Esports63c2,004$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.344143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Weibo Gaming32c2,001$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.661,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Top Esports21c2,000$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.991,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Top Esports59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026549.1%130 W · 135 L+21.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked Top Esports60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Top Esports25c1,648$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.4495951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Top Esports64c1,552$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00062739.9%250 W · 377 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Weibo Gaming44c1,548$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.971,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b4…f4d9backed Top Esports63c1,546$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98126062.7%163 W · 97 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Top Esports44c1,538$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.962,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed Weibo Gaming31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03555750.4%281 W · 276 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked Top Esports69c1,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03511658.6%68 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Weibo Gaming77c1,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0e…bf45backed Top Esports22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Top Esports48c1,407$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.861,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed08…e082backed Top Esports75c1,331$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019860.1%119 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Weibo Gaming53c1,322$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.9446257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Top Esports66c1,250$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.5984050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Top Esports16c1,224$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed Weibo Gaming33c1,212$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.1254246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed Top Esports29c1,186$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.368443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Top Esports34c1,177$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.619743.7%86 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ce…cc35backed Top Esports52c1,145$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012552%65 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed Top Esports45c1,140$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.1332160.7%195 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Weibo Gaming30c1,136$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.2995847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Top Esports46c1,126$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52051348.3%248 W · 265 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38bf…dfc1backed Top Esports63c1,111$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Weibo Gaming24c1,110$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.475630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Top Esports40c1,077$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.8767552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Weibo Gaming76c1,059$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.3721965.8%144 W · 75 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked Top Esports49c1,031$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Top Esports45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.911434.2%39 W · 75 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Top Esports58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58035346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Weibo Gaming38c962.8$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.941,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Top Esports7c950$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c8…cf96backed Top Esports40c949.98$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.997341.1%30 W · 43 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid-15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Top Esports46c936.56$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.741,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Weibo Gaming39c890.61$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.0611753%62 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Top Esports68c877.51$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.7926164.4%168 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Weibo Gaming57c873.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.9720649.5%102 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Top Esports23c825$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7510738.3%41 W · 66 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Top Esports62c814.5$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.997646.1%35 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed Top Esports5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb08…b630backed Top Esports23c800$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18417032.9%56 W · 114 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Weibo Gaming36c784.06$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.875942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Weibo Gaming38c758.1$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.0246637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Top Esports35c749.97$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4994144.6%420 W · 521 L-2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Weibo Gaming46c728.49$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.91,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Top Esports70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017961.5%110 W · 69 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36a0…436dbacked Top Esports36c700.99$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.147738.6%184 W · 293 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Weibo Gaming38c699.41$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.642,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Top Esports59c680.17$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40052065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c5…b9b6backed Top Esports35c677.81$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.861723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed Top Esports59c675.14$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce15…43b7backed Weibo Gaming75c665.22$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5412970.5%91 W · 38 L+16.5wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+12.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1bf2…3b95backed Top Esports48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021956.6%124 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Top Esports46c613.28$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28042847.9%205 W · 223 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked Top Esports16c606.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9776955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeef…e7e6backed Top Esports50c603.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Weibo Gaming55c568.5$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8849541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d54…7b7bbacked Top Esports18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.