TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05b5…037f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Commodities, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4957.1%28 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.47
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.29
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,884.66
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,842.49
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$9,368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$3,053.68
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$480
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,819.99
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10,010Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$2,502.4
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$9,998Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$3,423.1
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,912Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$2,199.38
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$84
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10,464Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$2,703.23
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,209.55
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$232.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$101.54
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,213.67
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$56.68
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$31.01
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050.86
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+58%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$981Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+97.5%+$956.66
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+492.3%+$989.1
All 5 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+84%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$19.37
New Mexico Lobos vs. VCU Ramsbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+42.9%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viborg FF win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.5%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Yannick Hanfmann vs Vit Koprivabacked Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$96.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.