Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6561c4c20a8373250717b341ddb4f3cb2f218f788a57a00e4725582238a5098
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 48c | 1,466$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.6 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 52c | 995.19$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.67 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…ec29backed Over | 49c | 599.86$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.93 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 50c | 422.48$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.24 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 59c | 341.86$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…d72bbacked Under | 51c | 326.67$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.07 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 46c | 216.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 50c | 192.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…5808backed Under | 62c | 180.64$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 47c | 171.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 32c | 165.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 50c | 102.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…16e6backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 254 | 66.5%169 W · 85 L | +22.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 49c | 74.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 55c | 73.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…7e4fbacked Under | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 61c | 60.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Under | 67c | 44.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 191 | 59.2%113 W · 78 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b5…037fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 49c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 39.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 40c | 37.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 63c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Under | 65c | 22.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 170 | 67.1%114 W · 56 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…2f62backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.