NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81da073364856f4fcc1ff519306db77dccb1f339406c08c414dee11f45ebba28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,705,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,856,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,705,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,760 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Kings | 24c | 1,835,893$444,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444,364.45 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Nuggets | 76c | 1,315,790$1,000,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315,789.57 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Kings | 24c | 1,264,000$303,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303,359.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Nuggets | 76c | 557,502$421,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135,632.5 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Kings | 25c | 275,564$68,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,090.92 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Nuggets | 76c | 197,244$149,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,638.81 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Nuggets | 76c | 165,836$126,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,541.43 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 77c | 160,162$122,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,439.81 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Nuggets | 76c | 113,103$85,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,144.75 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings | 17c | 100,000$16,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,749.96 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Nuggets | 76c | 92,213$69,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,452.8 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 76c | 76,034$57,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,344.95 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Kings | 28c | 70,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,599.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…e0e1backed Kings | 24c | 69,846$16,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,950.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 24c | 67,483$16,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,263.84 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Nuggets | 76c | 65,154$49,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,636.96 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Nuggets | 75c | 60,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…3674backed Nuggets | 75c | 59,000$44,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,750 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nuggets | 76c | 50,876$38,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,429.38 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Kings | 25c | 49,902$12,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,475.5 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nuggets | 76c | 43,805$33,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,381.29 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Nuggets | 78c | 39,907$31,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,779.57 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Kings | 23c | 35,886$8,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,339.85 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Nuggets | 75c | 33,459$25,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,449.11 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 76c | 31,520$23,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,581.93 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Nuggets | 71c | 27,086$19,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,783.99 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…a606backed Nuggets | 75c | 24,733$18,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,183.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 77c | 24,450$18,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 75c | 20,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…2097backed Kings | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked Nuggets | 67c | 19,716$13,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,506.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Nuggets | 78c | 19,452$15,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,213.79 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 75c | 19,187$14,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e2dabacked Kings | 58c | 17,500$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…b2babacked Nuggets | 42c | 17,500$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Nuggets | 75c | 16,989$12,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…4dd8backed Kings | 20c | 15,781$3,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Nuggets | 76c | 15,132$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.58 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Nuggets | 76c | 15,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nuggets | 77c | 13,804$10,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kings | 1c | 13,580$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Nuggets | 78c | 13,508$10,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.72 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Nuggets | 76c | 13,376$10,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.8 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Nuggets | 75c | 13,159$9,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.75 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Nuggets | 76c | 13,158$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.89 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…5f6dbacked Nuggets | 77c | 13,003$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.71 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…8ed6backed Nuggets | 75c | 12,901$9,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 23c | 12,534$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.51 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Kings | 6c | 12,500$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Nuggets | 75c | 12,200$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Nuggets | 75c | 11,887$8,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.65 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings | 0c | 11,207$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Nuggets | 76c | 10,656$8,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.43 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 77c | 10,300$7,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.48 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Nuggets | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Nuggets | 75c | 9,867$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.69 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kings | 19c | 9,851$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.64 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…bee6backed Nuggets | 78c | 9,343$7,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nuggets | 68c | 9,000$6,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 1c | 8,149$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Nuggets | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Nuggets | 75c | 7,500$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Nuggets | 76c | 7,371$5,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.95 | 225 | 42.2%95 W · 130 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Nuggets | 76c | 7,133$5,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.92 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 24c | 7,100$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 75c | 6,925$5,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.16 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Nuggets | 77c | 6,499$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…0141backed Nuggets | 80c | 6,144$4,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 22c | 6,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Nuggets | 79c | 5,857$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.94 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Nuggets | 74c | 5,772$4,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.03 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nuggets | 75c | 5,241$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.83 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kings | 24c | 5,086$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.41 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 67c | 5,040$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Nuggets | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nuggets | 76c | 5,000$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.5 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Kings | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Nuggets | 76c | 4,594$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.19 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Nuggets | 75c | 4,500$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Nuggets | 75c | 4,400$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Nuggets | 77c | 4,312$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.7 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5aa…a24bbacked Nuggets | 77c | 4,312$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Kings | 26c | 4,293$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.93 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 18c | 4,184$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.34 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…0812backed Nuggets | 80c | 4,157$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Nuggets | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Kings | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Kings | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Kings | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.98 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nuggets | 77c | 3,948$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.88 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nuggets | 75c | 3,850$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.5 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Kings | 14c | 3,701$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.18 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Nuggets | 75c | 3,608$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.01 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kings | 24c | 3,451$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.25 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Nuggets | 76c | 3,333$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.07 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Nuggets | 76c | 3,289$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.47 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Kings | 22c | 3,204$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.92 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 77c | 3,107$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.42 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ba…0a41backed Kings | 25c | 3,056$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Kings | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Kingsthis page
- Nuggets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 238.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 239.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 240.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 241.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 242.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 243.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.