NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf76e05dac4c35c67af318908131a784fd386acff35c04bc36e7bf33fa62d10c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Nuggets | 50c | 6,697$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.76 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Kings | 50c | 5,087$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Nuggets | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kings | 52c | 4,904$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 48c | 4,030$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.56 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Nuggets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings | 50c | 3,564$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 46c | 3,418$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 50c | 2,916$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.18 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Kings | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 49c | 2,470$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.05 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Kings | 65c | 2,284$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.57 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Kings | 52c | 2,171$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Kings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2183…44a7backed Kings | 51c | 1,950$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…8400backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,950$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…6d9dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,804$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings | 50c | 1,767$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.5 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,279$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.04 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 43c | 1,072$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Kings | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Kings | 49c | 911$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.39 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…b470backed Nuggets | 51c | 911$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…7d7ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 852.84$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.42 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 51c | 822.83$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.57 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…4d9cbacked Kings | 52c | 819.23$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nuggets | 59c | 807.69$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…251cbacked Kings | 49c | 683.33$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.83 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7935…3ed3backed Kings | 56c | 676.71$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed Kings | 52c | 675.12$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.04 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 29c | 634.63$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.67 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Kings | 56c | 625.11$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Nuggets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Kings | 51c | 516.56$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.45 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Nuggets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Nuggets | 66c | 499$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.66 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Kings | 51c | 435.29$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa763…709ebacked Kings | 49c | 409.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Nuggets | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Kings | 50c | 399.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.71 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…f51abacked Nuggets | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4be…9e93backed Kings | 50c | 391$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Kings | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 49c | 377$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.27 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Kings | 53c | 374.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Nuggets | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nuggets | 51c | 314$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.86 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kings | 47c | 276.24$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.99 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 49c | 209.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Nuggets | 51c | 209.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3906…f74bbacked Kings | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Kings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…391dbacked Kings | 53c | 190.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Nuggets | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Nuggets | 51c | 158.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Nuggets | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…3a1cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 138.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Kings | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Nuggets | 49c | 118.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…a4b1backed Kings | 21c | 116$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Kings | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Kings | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…a3b1backed Nuggets | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd140…bbbdbacked Kings | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…f00ebacked Kings | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Nuggets | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Kings | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Kings | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Nuggets | 53c | 94.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Nuggets | 52c | 77.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Nuggets | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Nuggets | 51c | 74.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Nuggets | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Nuggets | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…845bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 66.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Nuggets | 38c | 65.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 49c | 64.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…3b03backed Kings | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…6a1dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9561…3f51backed Kings | 50c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Nuggets | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Nuggets | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Nuggets | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Nuggets | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Kings | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…3886backed Nuggets | 53c | 39.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Kings | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Nuggets | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…f2c5backed Kings | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Nuggets | 49c | 38.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)this page
- Nuggets vs. KingsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 238.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 239.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 240.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 241.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 242.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 243.5Under won
- Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.