TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9f5…a3b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$675.65
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$2,628.36
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,894Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+67.5%+$1,278.99
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+37%+$14.69
Hawks vs. Kingsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+35.4%+$138.03
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$32.24
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$32.83
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+41.3%+$41.27
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66%+$140.08
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53%+$31.82
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+27.1%+$37.1
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$37.98
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+81.8%+$49.09
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$27.38
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+99.8%+$119.79
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+441.1%+$610.96
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$156.1
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$57.56
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+244.8%+$52.23
Spread: Kraken (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Jets (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$45.78
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40.65
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+116.7%+$46.7
Utah vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Blue Jackets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+27.6%+$27.61
Red Wings vs. Sharksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Red Wings vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+37.4%+$37.42
All 15 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Tech vs. Boston Collegebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Toledo vs. Miami (OH)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-57.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LIU Sharks vs. Air Force Falconsbacked Air Force Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+68.9%+$68.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.