Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LIU Sharks vs. Air Force Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc313639d21289d7c15d193971beb8643d6f662b7c5e752b06fd8a0c3ddd9e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LIU Sharksof LIU Sharks, Air Force Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked LIU Sharks | 72c | 13,902$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.78 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Air Force Falcons | 28c | 9,450$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.4 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Air Force Falcons | 21c | 5,176$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…0381backed Air Force Falcons | 3c | 2,614$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…0c28backed Air Force Falcons | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…84b8backed Air Force Falcons | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fe…98a5backed LIU Sharks | 64c | 2,200$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe067…96b1backed Air Force Falcons | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Air Force Falcons | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked LIU Sharks | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172a…6502backed LIU Sharks | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed LIU Sharks | 64c | 1,887$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.1 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…03febacked LIU Sharks | 64c | 1,800$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked LIU Sharks | 71c | 1,292$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.07 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Air Force Falcons | 35c | 1,106$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Air Force Falcons | 31c | 1,079$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…259ebacked LIU Sharks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…7909backed Air Force Falcons | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 63cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Air Force Falcons | 37c | 953.4$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Air Force Falcons | 40c | 678.48$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.24 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Air Force Falcons | 38c | 664$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Air Force Falcons | 14c | 552.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked LIU Sharks | 62c | 513.44$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.44 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed LIU Sharks | 64c | 496.48$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.49 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked LIU Sharks | 63c | 463.11$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.91 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Air Force Falcons | 13c | 400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Air Force Falcons | 24c | 328.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…a3b1backed Air Force Falcons | 41c | 244.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…bb13backed Air Force Falcons | 11c | 229.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Air Force Falcons | 5c | 210.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb2…3f0ebacked Air Force Falcons | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Air Force Falcons | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed LIU Sharks | 72c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Air Force Falcons | 36c | 156.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed LIU Sharks | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Air Force Falcons | 14c | 140.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +19.3wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Air Force Falcons | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Air Force Falcons | 22c | 113.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Air Force Falcons | 34c | 111$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…2ed0backed Air Force Falcons | 39c | 106.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Air Force Falcons | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…e48fbacked Air Force Falcons | 31c | 82.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed LIU Sharks | 67c | 74.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed LIU Sharks | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Air Force Falcons | 35c | 59.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed LIU Sharks | 68c | 58.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed LIU Sharks | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb58e…3cd3backed Air Force Falcons | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Air Force Falcons | 33c | 51.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…5797backed LIU Sharks | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Air Force Falcons | 30c | 46.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked LIU Sharks | 58c | 43.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed LIU Sharks | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…f4febacked Air Force Falcons | 38c | 36.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked Air Force Falcons | 33c | 35.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Air Force Falcons | 40c | 29.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…dc56backed LIU Sharks | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…7245backed LIU Sharks | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed LIU Sharks | 74c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed LIU Sharks | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d8…c713backed LIU Sharks | 61c | 17.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LIU Sharks vs. Air Force Falconsthis page
- LIU Sharks vs. Air Force Falcons: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-4.5)Air Force Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.