TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb29…358e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST3568.6%24 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$144
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+35.1%+$68.51
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+39%+$57.28
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$524.33
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+33.5%+$23.45
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$290
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$131
Nuggets vs. Hawksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+75.4%+$174.26
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$287
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$290
Nuggets vs. Pacersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$292.11
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$121.22
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+127.1%+$214.76
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+75.1%+$66.07
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+44.9%+$37.37
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+34.6%+$71.19
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$33.85
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+47.1%+$43.76
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+37%+$33.29
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+40.2%+$364.78
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$96.67
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+30.7%+$151.34
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2556%14 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Milwaukee Panthersbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$183
LIU Sharks vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$57.65
Louisville Cardinals vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$66.5
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+25.7%+$123.24
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked Fresno State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Lafayette Leopards vs. Penn Quakersbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22.44
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$118.45
UCLA Bruins vs. Washington Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26.2%+$178.49
Connecticut Huskies vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+37.9%+$44.3
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$393
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. UT Martin Skyhawksbacked UT Martin Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$145.6
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$23.73
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$148
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$15.15
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Wagner Seahawks vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$201
Wofford Terriers vs. Northern Kentucky Norsebacked Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+38.6%+$27.29
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Iona Gaelsbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$215
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked Oregon State Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$71.9
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$155.56
Alabama State Hornets vs. Air Force Falconsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$314.51
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,200
Alcorn State Braves vs. Howard Bisonbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$101.89
LIU Sharks vs. Air Force Falconsbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+61.5%+$195.44
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-43.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$101
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$75.35
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+53.3%+$70.95
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$170
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$258
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$231
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$202
LoL: Oh My God vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14
LoL: Oh My God vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$38.67
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+35.6%+$149.21
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+56.6%+$96.76
LoL: DN Freecs vs Cloud9 (BO3)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$44.48
LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$87
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs KT Rolster (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+79%+$101.13
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO1)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.2%+$106.93
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+38.9%+$112.89
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+29.6%+$140.69
Arizona vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$146
Boise State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$160.71
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$42
Kansas State vs. Utahbacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$169.41
Akron vs. Bowlingbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+49%+$256.12
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+68.7%+$697.02
Northern Illinois vs. UMassbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+26.6%+$168.53
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$983
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+143.9%+$56.12
Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-GANK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$55.56
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.4%+$160.14
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25.1%+$72.72
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+27%+$59.23
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$390
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+43.4%+$576.13
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$617.12
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+25%+$72.5
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+54.9%+$15.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Gen.G Esports (BO1)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+45.6%+$87.19
Valorant: T1 vs Fnatic (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$101.25
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+39.8%+$166.06
Valorant: DRX vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+104.1%+$30.18
Valorant: DRX vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3)backed Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+43.5%+$103.96
Valorant: SLT vs Gen.G Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+25%+$59.47
Valorant: Fnatic vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$66
Valorant: DRX vs SLT (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$457
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female (BO5)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+31.8%+$7.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$91.96
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+61.3%+$66.81
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$97
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$395.29
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+46.3%+$147.69
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$93
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+43.4%+$268.75
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+25.3%+$131.07
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+42.6%+$133.41
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+114.3%+$51.43
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$685.74
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$112.78
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$293.68
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$34.35
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Flames vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$312
All 4 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+28.2%+$37.79
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$168.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Montenegro vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Japan vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+233.3%+$137.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+30.7%+$53.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.