Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d152504c637ae2909e085514660a4191f1ec9b73a73bb2d2c892a46191325e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Gen.G Esports, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gen.G Esports | 45c | 6,176$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.56 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…41bebacked Fnatic | 42c | 2,460$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Fnatic | 44c | 1,901$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.32 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Fnatic | 54c | 1,861$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.66 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Gen.G Esports | 40c | 1,718$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.33 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Fnatic | 40c | 1,100$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Gen.G Esports | 51c | 803.04$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.77 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Fnatic | 42c | 799.81$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Gen.G Esports | 33c | 766.48$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Gen.G Esports | 58c | 700$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Fnatic | 64c | 588.18$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Fnatic | 72c | 583.06$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.06 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fnatic | 43c | 550.61$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.85 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Gen.G Esports | 23c | 536.81$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Fnatic | 43c | 500.11$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Gen.G Esports | 27c | 449.29$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Gen.G Esports | 61c | 443.48$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Gen.G Esports | 50c | 328.21$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Gen.G Esports | 23c | 299.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fb…0a53backed Fnatic | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…881cbacked Fnatic | 74c | 223.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Gen.G Esports | 23c | 217.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Gen.G Esports | 59c | 193.31$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Gen.G Esports | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…bbdbbacked Gen.G Esports | 58c | 152.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Fnatic | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Fnatic | 74c | 135.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Gen.G Esports | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Gen.G Esports | 59c | 93.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 59cpaid | -77%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Gen.G Esports | 54c | 84.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Fnatic | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Gen.G Esports | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Fnatic | 73c | 66.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…63d5backed Gen.G Esports | 58c | 51.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Gen.G Esports | 55c | 45.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fnatic | 44c | 44.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Gen.G Esports | 40c | 37.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…ada0backed Fnatic | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked Fnatic | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Fnatic (BO3)Fnatic won
- Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.