TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff6a…881c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT4854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.47
Valorant: GnG Amazigh vs MIR - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Valorant: S2G Esports vs Mandatory - Map 2 Winnerbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.3
Valorant: Joblife vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Cbacked Pixel Lumina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.09
Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Barça eSports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Bbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$36.24
Valorant: Mandatory vs MIR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$17.4
Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Any Questions Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$20.72
Valorant: DRX Academy vs FearX (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked DRX Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: DRX Academy vs FearX - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+166.3%+$20.61
Valorant: DRX Academy vs FearX - Map 1 Winnerbacked DRX Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Rare Atom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Any Questions Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.85
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$42.4
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$36.6
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$43.2
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$39.2
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.16
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$123.16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.46
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$33.01
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+455.6%+$91.11
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$100.26
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+53.5%+$115.29
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Dabrowski/Stefanibacked Guo/Mladenovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$27.27
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Neel/Olmos vs Jiang/Xubacked Jiang/Xu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.17
Braunschweig: Vilius Gaubas vs Facundo Acostabacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Newport: Murphy Cassone vs Darwin Blanchbacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Newport: Iryna Shymanovich vs Hayu Kinoshitabacked Hayu Kinoshita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$81.6
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.98
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Maria Lourdes Carlebacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.76
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Lois Boissonbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$140.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+152.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo vs. Mallorca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Losene Keita · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.