Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Iryna Shymanovich vs Hayu Kinoshita
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x200da890ba84b8e068fefe1d8c990d4eb65a96f00b76e5314028815737a54e42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iryna Shymanovichof Iryna Shymanovich, Hayu Kinoshita
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hayu Kinoshita | 17c | 9,991$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.56 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…ca30backed Hayu Kinoshita | 6c | 2,756$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.89 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hayu Kinoshita | 21c | 2,701$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.45 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Iryna Shymanovich | 75c | 1,520$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.73 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Iryna Shymanovich | 60c | 1,139$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.72 | 931 | 40.4%376 W · 555 L | -32.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hayu Kinoshita | 39c | 1,000$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.97 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Iryna Shymanovich | 69c | 995$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.44 | 477 | 56.6%270 W · 207 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Iryna Shymanovich | 58c | 852.49$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.71 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Hayu Kinoshita | 48c | 841.41$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.48 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Hayu Kinoshita | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 45c | 723.78$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.61 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Iryna Shymanovich | 49c | 617$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.67 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hayu Kinoshita | 30c | 614.72$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Hayu Kinoshita | 6c | 604.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Iryna Shymanovich | 57c | 570.28$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…3e9ebacked Iryna Shymanovich | 50c | 516.24$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.67 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hayu Kinoshita | 12c | 448.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 35c | 394.93$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.76 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Iryna Shymanovich | 60c | 394.19$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Hayu Kinoshita | 47c | 393.15$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.66 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Hayu Kinoshita | 29c | 340.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 21.6%61 W · 221 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Hayu Kinoshita | 10c | 338.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Hayu Kinoshita | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Hayu Kinoshita | 45c | 290.02$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Hayu Kinoshita | 26c | 259.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Iryna Shymanovich | 76c | 252$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Hayu Kinoshita | 11c | 238.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Iryna Shymanovich | 58c | 196.3$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.23 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Iryna Shymanovich | 77c | 193.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Iryna Shymanovich | 62c | 172.6$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 1,318 | 43.6%574 W · 744 L | -23.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Iryna Shymanovich | 58c | 161.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 520 | 38.5%200 W · 320 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Iryna Shymanovich | 63c | 159.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Iryna Shymanovich | 57c | 153.76$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Hayu Kinoshita | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 313 | 37.1%116 W · 197 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 36c | 147.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Hayu Kinoshita | 42c | 138.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 1,474 | 35.1%518 W · 956 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Hayu Kinoshita | 11c | 132.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Iryna Shymanovich | 79c | 126.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 117 | 65%76 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Hayu Kinoshita | 19c | 117.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Hayu Kinoshita | 43c | 100.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 843 | 49.8%420 W · 423 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…6a5dbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 16c | 100.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Iryna Shymanovich | 79c | 90.42$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 798 | 57.6%460 W · 338 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Iryna Shymanovich | 57c | 87.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 2,056 | 59.5%1,224 W · 832 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Hayu Kinoshita | 47c | 83.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…d4ffbacked Iryna Shymanovich | 57c | 82.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Hayu Kinoshita | 43c | 70.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Iryna Shymanovich | 58c | 65.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Iryna Shymanovich | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1,802 | 58.9%1,062 W · 740 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Hayu Kinoshita | 32c | 62.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hayu Kinoshita | 41c | 60.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Iryna Shymanovich | 66c | 59.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Iryna Shymanovich | 76c | 57.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…59fdbacked Iryna Shymanovich | 57c | 56.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Iryna Shymanovich | 71c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Hayu Kinoshita | 42c | 47.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Iryna Shymanovich | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 332 | 56.6%188 W · 144 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hayu Kinoshita | 26c | 44.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Hayu Kinoshita | 42c | 42.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 576 | 45.7%263 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Hayu Kinoshita | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Hayu Kinoshita | 40c | 35.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Iryna Shymanovich | 58c | 32.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…5dd9backed Iryna Shymanovich | 77c | 32.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hayu Kinoshita | 43c | 30.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,965 | 46.4%911 W · 1,054 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Hayu Kinoshita | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 186 | 64.5%120 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Iryna Shymanovich | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Hayu Kinoshita | 38c | 29.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…881cbacked Hayu Kinoshita | 43c | 29.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Hayu Kinoshita | 50c | 27.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hayu Kinoshita | 43c | 25.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Hayu Kinoshita | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…2a28backed Iryna Shymanovich | 58c | 19.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Iryna Shymanovich | 75c | 17.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Iryna Shymanovich | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newport: Iryna Shymanovich vs Hayu Kinoshitathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shymanovich vs KinoshitaShymanovich won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.