TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0677…2a28

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Commodities, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT10135.6%36 W · 65 L-11.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Marino: Francesco Maestrelli vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$23.63
Vancouver: J.J. Wolf vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Zug: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.33
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ariana Geerlings vs Nina Radovanovicbacked Nina Radovanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Darwin Blanchbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$24.1
Bloomfield Hills: Bernard Tomic vs Tristan Boyerbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Tamara Zidansek vs. Alevtina Ibragimova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$31.41
Winnipeg: Fajing Sun vs Mees Rottgeringbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shickbacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.56
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Nastasja Schunkbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.26
Bloomfield Hills: Andres Martin vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.61
Livesport Prague Open: Anna Blinkova vs Sara Bejlekbacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquetbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.12
Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Generali Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Livesport Prague Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Hamburg European Open: Elena Pridankina vs Panna Udvardybacked Elena Pridankina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteribacked Alessandra Mazzola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmobacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$59.89
Ekaterine Gorgodze vs. Ane Mintegi Del Olmo: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.12
Estoril Open: Henrique Rocha vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Palermo: Federica Urgesi vs Elizara Yanevabacked Elizara Yaneva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2516%4 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-56.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.42
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.86
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.28
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.98
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+97%+$11.64
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AIK win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$32.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+70.6%+$10.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.