South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43c2a58c4c9d57017bd20fbaf8248920c3a50dcad5981aeb5f8fcf3e6edffb9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 28c | 4,217$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.84 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 13c | 3,519$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.61 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 3,497$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.11 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 3,355$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.36 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 2,737$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.11 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 2,474$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.05 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 31c | 2,399$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.08 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Yes | 14c | 2,277$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.17 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 75c | 2,230$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.39 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 22c | 2,186$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.72 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 28c | 2,030$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.23 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 1,655$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.52 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,441$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.67 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed No | 78c | 1,404$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.87 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9c…df69backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 77c | 1,210$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.39 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes | 29c | 1,172$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.82 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 17c | 1,166$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.22 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 28c | 1,118$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.94 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 21c | 1,108$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.21 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 26c | 987.83$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.84 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 983.45$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.11 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 78c | 978.44$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.01 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 20c | 909.19$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 8c | 866.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 16c | 826.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 68c | 801$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.12 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 769.4$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.56 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 73c | 765$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.05 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 14c | 728.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 6c | 715$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 78c | 688.26$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.26 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 72c | 642.93$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.41 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b828backed No | 79c | 642.78$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 73c | 599.98$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 16c | 576.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 78c | 513$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 26c | 487.93$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.86 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 2c | 485.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 21c | 427.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40b…9ab4backed Yes | 13c | 424.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed No | 73c | 410.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 15c | 386.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 19c | 370.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c5…99d8backed Yes | 18c | 333.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Yes | 16c | 303.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes | 16c | 297.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 22c | 291.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 22c | 265.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…1d97backed Yes | 26c | 259.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 71c | 258.35$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1a…a6f9backed Yes | 25c | 241.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed Yes | 21c | 229.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 24c | 222.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Yes | 22c | 217.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 28c | 207.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 27c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Yes | 29c | 175.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 173.9$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 20c | 161$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 73c | 144.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 19c | 119.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…2438backed Yes | 23c | 104$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 76c | 98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 23c | 89.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 22c | 89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 16c | 84.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 72c | 76.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 71.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 21c | 56.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 72c | 54.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 52.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…2a28backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 21c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 29c | 43.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 76c | 41.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 39.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…1baabacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 29.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bba…161abacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…bd31backed No | 76c | 24.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked No | 80c | 17.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed No | 75c | 16.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.