South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26e86366101d82e72ea5898629b78bcd054fc3e5c1fd15e5b6714b26066f4bcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77fe…a351backed No | 54c | 9,600$5,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 46c | 8,558$3,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.86 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Yes | 62c | 4,847$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.41 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 30c | 3,861$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 3,835$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.76 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 54c | 3,293$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.57 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 73c | 2,058$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 69c | 2,018$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.85 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 66c | 1,806$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.34 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,800$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.98 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 35c | 1,636$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.3 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…6732backed Yes | 46c | 1,626$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 14c | 1,501$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 1,362$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.93 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,352$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.26 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 45c | 1,053$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.7 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 56c | 1,027$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.97 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 28c | 842$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.48 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 44c | 741$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.22 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 53c | 731.36$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.41 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 36c | 720$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.95 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Yes | 62c | 716.27$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.84 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Yes | 7c | 612$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 57c | 570.88$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.88 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 43c | 560.36$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.16 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 30c | 548.33$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 74c | 519.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 21c | 493.26$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.41 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 54c | 486.35$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.72 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 18c | 445.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 48c | 429$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 423.21$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 48c | 419.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 77c | 324.67$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.73 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 51c | 310.12$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79d8…da40backed Yes | 8c | 276$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 14c | 267.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.99 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…5607backed No | 49c | 254.42$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x584a…8b8abacked No | 12c | 243.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 69c | 227$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 50c | 223.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked Yes | 67c | 220.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…1deabacked Yes | 58c | 216.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 28c | 207.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1510…fe91backed Yes | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 41c | 198.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed No | 21c | 191$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked No | 54c | 186$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 22c | 175$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 36c | 166$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 42c | 165.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed No | 39c | 159.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 53c | 158.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…e57bbacked No | 29c | 152.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 35cpaid | +196.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 38c | 144$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 143.96$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 59c | 143$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 128.06$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Yes | 16c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 118.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Yes | 46c | 115.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 27c | 111.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa131…2438backed Yes | 46c | 106.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed No | 34c | 102.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 53c | 101.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 51c | 96.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 33c | 94.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked No | 42c | 94.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 46c | 89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 43c | 84.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…bfb7backed Yes | 61c | 83.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed No | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 45c | 79.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 41c | 78.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed No | 54c | 70.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…83a6backed Yes | 30c | 65.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…a2a8backed Yes | 73c | 59.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 74cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa058…69debacked Yes | 61c | 48.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked No | 72c | 47.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 37c | 46.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 65c | 46.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed No | 36c | 43.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +4.1wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +212.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 72c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…b109backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 73c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…61b5backed Yes | 69c | 39.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 49c | 37.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.