South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb940d55ebca08588fee40b77f60be5ef0e022b0cdf40bc8cc7918c50818a1b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $575,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $575,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed No | 57c | 34,345$19,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,576.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked No | 39c | 22,970$8,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,868.46 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,400 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Yes | 63c | 17,588$10,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,594.05 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 41c | 16,436$6,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,661.78 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 38c | 16,091$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,046.44 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 57c | 13,486$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 74c | 12,487$9,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.05 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked Yes | 48c | 10,516$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,516.29 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +287.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed No | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked No | 61c | 7,619$4,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,636.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked No | 57c | 6,902$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 45c | 5,960$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.79 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 59c | 5,809$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.64 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 44c | 5,200$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.07 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 4c | 5,154$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 75c | 5,096$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.18 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 4,885$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.77 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 52c | 4,678$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.92 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 19c | 3,945$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.87 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 5c | 3,932$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 68c | 3,801$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.05 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No | 67c | 3,556$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 49c | 3,532$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.7 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 3,402$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 50c | 3,318$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.79 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed No | 41c | 3,156$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.77 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed No | 53c | 3,099$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.22 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 50c | 3,098$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.51 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 47c | 2,851$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.2 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 55c | 2,502$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.93 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 44c | 2,438$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.24 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 3c | 2,400$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 45c | 2,395$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.98 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 43c | 2,393$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 42c | 2,379$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.76 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 2,340$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.53 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed No | 49c | 2,303$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.4 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 56c | 2,109$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Yes | 42c | 2,107$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 33c | 2,091$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.78 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 54c | 2,069$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.41 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.74 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,941$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked No | 61c | 1,903$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 50c | 1,891$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.78 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 38c | 1,855$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.68 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 1,829$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.53 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.56 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 43c | 1,550$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.73 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 60c | 1,527$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.77 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,503$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.72 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,483$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.85 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 30c | 1,391$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.79 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 44c | 1,348$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.88 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 37c | 1,231$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.2 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 40c | 1,219$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.2 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 59c | 1,206$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.36 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 71c | 1,199$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.98 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 1,195$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.22 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 65c | 1,146$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.62 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…da8ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,144$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.75 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 52c | 1,142$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.47 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 1,139$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.24 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Yes | 43c | 1,136$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.73 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 33c | 1,122$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.84 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.35per pick | 46cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 12c | 1,114$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 56c | 1,093$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed No | 34c | 1,092$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.65 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed No | 52c | 1,084$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.25 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 20c | 1,047$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a6…c3c5backed Yes | 44c | 1,025$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 28c | 953$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.85 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Yes | 53c | 922.85$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.03 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 47c | 905.97$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.56 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes | 49c | 892.85$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.35 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 48c | 860.31$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.97 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 40c | 851.56$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.69 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked No | 6c | 851.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 32c | 802.38$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.41 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 13c | 739$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 46c | 735.25$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.03 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 25c | 733.13$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.45 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed No | 60c | 716.94$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.74 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 40c | 705.65$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.36 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 56c | 698.74$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.59 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked No | 45c | 698.29$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.81 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 37c | 689.63$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.23 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed No | 56c | 668.69$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.1 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 6c | 666.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 56c | 627.32$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.87 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 73c | 577.09$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.59 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 49c | 567.73$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 45c | 566.23$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.38 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.