TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$637,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$650,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,315 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5966…f804backed No66c100,000$66,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,999.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No64c46,890$29,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,044.881,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c45,762$28,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,568.114,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes34c43,971$14,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,949.9814146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes34c43,523$14,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,949.8122455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes34c36,522$12,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,539.9740357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes35c36,255$12,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,612.4219840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c34,616$22,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,921.771,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked No58c33,974$19,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,147.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes35c29,779$10,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,408.882850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Yes55c21,620$11,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,990.873240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ba4…0a0bbacked Yes35c16,289$5,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,710.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes28c13,825$3,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,814.5121322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes35c13,764$4,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,873.32951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44f…6225backed Yes36c13,704$4,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,918.661741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes28c11,934$3,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,297.3156439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No66c11,552$7,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,961.332,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes35c11,429$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002040%8 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No65c10,758$7,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,747.836746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No64c9,179$5,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.446839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No65c8,166$5,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,845.2135442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No64c8,010$5,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,845.6316740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No66c6,318$4,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.1422448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Yes55c6,296$3,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,467.911968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No66c6,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes35c5,714$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes33c5,072$1,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.7615459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No59c4,874$2,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.081,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c4,721$3,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.83,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes39c4,709$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.3512553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes46c4,393$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.3115150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No54c4,316$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.59557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No66c4,267$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.219058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40040033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes34c3,744$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.2433734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes33c3,603$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.8614250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No65c3,520$2,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.7563757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No47c3,109$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.1258548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af4…183cbacked No65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.921457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9908160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No65c2,943$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.0250249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No70c2,686$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.6810556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes12c2,584$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4760732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No44c2,277$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.2482844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc294…570ebacked Yes36c2,222$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes35c2,150$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.515516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7203141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes56c1,941$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.691735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No65c1,743$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.0247653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No65c1,731$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.858251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes11c1,647$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8412823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.113051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No65c1,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5607358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No64c1,600$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57611054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No66c1,584$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.5632545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes34c1,575$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.6822246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5353…51b9backed Yes36c1,526$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes34c1,521$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.0748251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes35c1,511$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.911333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes52c1,501$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.189851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes11c1,500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes35c1,500$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52013419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No65c1,485$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.7650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010041%41 W · 59 L-13.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccda…21f3backed No59c1,327$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.475442.6%23 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd217…b3f3backed No65c1,300$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4551145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc199…a956backed Yes35c1,286$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.056672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes39c1,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes56c1,266$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.8860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No67c1,200$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39611566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32411819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No65c1,200$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4209457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No65c1,182$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.133253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes35c1,176$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.7668050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…584ebacked No66c1,172$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No79c1,149$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.299561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes41c1,148$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes35c1,140$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No65c1,139$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.8183650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No65c1,100$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.4945250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…698dbacked Yes56c1,072$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No46c1,039$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.1320843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked No65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3303441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa110…3053backed Yes30c982.42$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes56c966.89$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5441952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No44c959.07$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.1313744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No67c911.27$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.724837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacf8…8c57backed Yes33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Yes55c900$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Yes56c869.48$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.914645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No65c846.15$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1513445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.