TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$162,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes28c35,770$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,769.856832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No37c13,360$4,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,975.7321322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes70c11,153$7,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.894055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c10,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c5,924$4,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,265.592,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c4,382$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,013.813,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c3,890$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.934,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1608160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No37c2,986$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.7358548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes64c2,344$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.75955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No73c2,109$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.34959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes38c2,011$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.8122859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4403073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No62c1,969$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.5161657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes37c1,733$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.941,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No41c1,693$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.4813658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes39c1,651$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.5492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No72c1,504$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.5860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c1,304$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.0157139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No72c1,215$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87535442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c1,155$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.9683650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1a1…e4f8backed Yes48c1,071$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.321136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes29c1,046$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.776550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No72c1,041$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.528251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No73c1,005$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.886350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103327.3%9 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick15cpaid+158.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73022246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No63c793.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.172365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No41c732.97$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2168450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Yes27c704.79$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.494837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No42c693.25$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1963553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes27c600$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4383863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f88…cd62backed Yes27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+120.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes27c550.37$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.777635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…67f0backed Yes39c489.98$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87dc…a465backed Yes57c488.93$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c482.64$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9264457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c443.97$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6675451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No73c380.21$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.554452.3%23 W · 21 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes27c375$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.758939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Yes54c370.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.74560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.375831%18 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.373847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d0d…0a99backed Yes31c353.76$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.867838.5%30 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No30c319.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8926641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789946.5%46 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac20…a68abacked Yes74c270.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.653650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes40c250.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.884841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No37c215.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.029931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No67c206.26$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.486243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14613644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No70c200$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8628138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes27c199.96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9710752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6b…7823backed Yes28c189.29$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.291323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No45c180.72$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.311,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes56c178.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.715050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc82…3918backed No17c174.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes46c170$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.51546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No9c163.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0112823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No59c158$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7710347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacf8…8c57backed Yes64c156.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes30c150.47$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4720630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1378…681bbacked Yes30c144.92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.921040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No60c139.04$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.810948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5465…ba43backed No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006163.9%39 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No52c130.91$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5341348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f7…60d5backed Yes41c126.41$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.362552%13 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a6…fec7backed No14c124.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.183658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No73c120.17$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.726377.8%49 W · 14 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes27c120$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.626853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187e…70d3backed Yes62c113.71$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.71850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc92…8d1dbacked No74c112.66$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.372343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaca…c634backed Yes37c112.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.661560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed No35c110.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.334944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Yes60c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.56956.5%39 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Yes28c108.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.47333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No48c107.34$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3737348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x928d…c482backed No69c104.49$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.11668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c101.26$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4920252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7317859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7348251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-51.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4917044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No43c97.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4417842.1%75 W · 103 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba79…e944backed Yes32c93.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3514250.7%72 W · 70 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No74c91.94$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6223455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes79c91.67$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.574639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No66c89.76$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.244143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked No62c83.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6410944%48 W · 61 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-26.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e44…79c9backed Yes37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes36c81.08$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.89540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes37c78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.456926.1%18 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Yes76c77.29$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.29887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick58cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.924748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked No48c74.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.715561.8%34 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6833…2011backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No27c73.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9741323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.