TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x187e…70d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$14.04
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.73
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$5.03
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.26
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$30.48
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.96
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$51.15
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.3
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$4.21
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.48
Will Russia win on 2026-05-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$3.89
All 20 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$4.99
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedombacked Washington Freedom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.29
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Somersetbacked Yorkshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$8.88
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Texas Super Kingsbacked Seattle Orcas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$5.68
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawibacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$2.89
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xibacked Rwanda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$5.82
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Botswana vs Rwandabacked Rwanda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$29.5
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Malaysia vs Nepalbacked Malaysia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+332.7%+$154.9
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.12
T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: Indonesia vs Nepalbacked Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$32.72
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$9.23
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Switzerland vs Croatiabacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33%+$8.25
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Papua New Guineabacked Papua New Guinea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.01
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$11.05
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.06
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navonebacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$3.6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.27
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Bengaluru 2: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Sasikumar Mukundbacked Sasikumar Mukund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$26.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.91
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$91.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$76
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.