Cricket · resolved market
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb66bf941462626e493a53c16534cd15c7b29f8a066ce1bc39e0b3d58f34857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brazilof Brazil, Malawi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Malawi | 42c | 4,633$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.87 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brazil | 59c | 1,772$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.27 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Brazil | 63c | 1,201$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.38 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Malawi | 12c | 1,048$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Brazil | 74c | 1,045$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.6 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Malawi | 4c | 994$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Malawi | 8c | 738.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Malawi | 9c | 578.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Malawi | 7c | 522$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Malawi | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Malawi | 14c | 463$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Brazil | 56c | 357.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.07 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Malawi | 30c | 236.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Malawi | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Malawi | 25c | 190.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Brazil | 79c | 177.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Malawi | 28c | 142.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Malawi | 19c | 139$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Brazil | 65c | 129.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Malawi | 25c | 105.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Malawi | 17c | 97.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Malawi | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Brazil | 70c | 72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Brazil | 72c | 71.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…2838backed Malawi | 19c | 53.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Malawi | 23c | 50.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Malawi | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Malawi | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Brazil | 62c | 33.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Brazil | 68c | 26.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Brazil | 60c | 24.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187e…70d3backed Brazil | 80c | 14.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.