Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Papua New Guinea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc253f47f36e99f4f44b069bbc37331ca52f1d4e4a00067412690c5a56e4c24a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Japanof Japan, Papua New Guinea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Japan | 29c | 2,821$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.9 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Japan | 50c | 2,190$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Papua New Guinea | 4c | 2,179$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Papua New Guinea | 76c | 2,058$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…dc26backed Papua New Guinea | 8c | 1,649$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Papua New Guinea | 13c | 1,589$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.37 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Papua New Guinea | 35c | 1,396$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.04 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Papua New Guinea | 62c | 806.55$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.25 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f161backed Papua New Guinea | 77c | 648.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Papua New Guinea | 66c | 585.2$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.13 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Papua New Guinea | 75c | 525$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.75 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Papua New Guinea | 72c | 519.89$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.93 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Papua New Guinea | 50c | 493.71$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Papua New Guinea | 62c | 408.68$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.92 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Papua New Guinea | 56c | 403.62$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.35 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Japan | 39c | 355.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.49 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Papua New Guinea | 28c | 281.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Papua New Guinea | 72c | 278.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Japan | 32c | 276.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.95 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Papua New Guinea | 73c | 275.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Papua New Guinea | 46c | 255.77$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Papua New Guinea | 79c | 199$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.21 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Japan | 41c | 195.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bf…9160backed Papua New Guinea | 30c | 169.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Papua New Guinea | 63c | 158.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Papua New Guinea | 29c | 156.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Japan | 48c | 155.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Japan | 59c | 142.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…85b1backed Papua New Guinea | 74c | 139.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Papua New Guinea | 76c | 131.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Japan | 35c | 122.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.37 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed Japan | 41c | 121.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Papua New Guinea | 43c | 119.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Japan | 28c | 111.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…43d5backed Japan | 44c | 106.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Japan | 34c | 103.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Papua New Guinea | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Papua New Guinea | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Papua New Guinea | 65c | 97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…46c6backed Japan | 35c | 94.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Papua New Guinea | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Papua New Guinea | 51c | 88.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +8.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…192cbacked Papua New Guinea | 57c | 73.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Papua New Guinea | 74c | 72.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5850…fdd9backed Papua New Guinea | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…69f4backed Papua New Guinea | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd171…1722backed Japan | 78c | 62.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Japan | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147f…5f7bbacked Papua New Guinea | 75c | 56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked Japan | 35c | 55.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Papua New Guinea | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Japan | 28c | 53.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Japan | 38c | 53.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…669bbacked Papua New Guinea | 59c | 50.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Papua New Guinea | 66c | 49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187e…70d3backed Papua New Guinea | 60c | 48.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Papua New Guinea | 67c | 47.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…f4f5backed Papua New Guinea | 64c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Japan | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Japan | 26c | 40.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Japan | 79c | 40.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…7a4dbacked Papua New Guinea | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Papua New Guinea | 68c | 39.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…4b21backed Papua New Guinea | 32c | 39.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2c…227dbacked Papua New Guinea | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Papua New Guinea | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Japan | 61c | 34.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…e3fabacked Papua New Guinea | 70c | 32.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…b6d7backed Japan | 65c | 29.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…7f61backed Papua New Guinea | 72c | 27.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7007…5c07backed Papua New Guinea | 78c | 26.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…517ebacked Japan | 75c | 26.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Papua New Guinea | 61c | 26.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…2f03backed Papua New Guinea | 77c | 26.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…a26fbacked Papua New Guinea | 58c | 25.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Papua New Guinea | 54c | 20.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Japan | 67c | 20.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Papua New Guinea | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0c…1833backed Papua New Guinea | 80c | 16.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae0…e547backed Papua New Guinea | 68c | 16.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Papua New Guinea | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Papua New Guinea | 74c | 14.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Japan | 75c | 14.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.