TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7007…5c07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT14841.9%62 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$216.56
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$587.34
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,254.77
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$734.48
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$633.72
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$261.16
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$92.59
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$116.45
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$74.02
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$40.67
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.5
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.61
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$31.6
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$30.49
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.37
Raptors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.9
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$89.7
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.09
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$109.09
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$65.42
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+122.2%+$33
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+49%+$24.31
All 24 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$96.6
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$92.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$12.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Papua New Guineabacked Papua New Guinea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.